NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	8.3 [195]		MVP	JJ Hickson (CLE): +16.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	5.6 [247]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -31.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.00	9	46%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.02	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	14	55%	0.13	3	-0.14	3	67%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32	-0.10	-0.24	-0.02	16	41%	-0.24	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	11	59%	0.34	4	-0.17	5	80%	-0.05
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	21	57%	0.19	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.05
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	27.5	15.0	26.1	2.4	34.2	129.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +43.8%

CLE +4.2%

CLE +9.1%

MEM -5.7%

MEM -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.5	91.5	96.8	105.7
season	15.5	15.1		106.1	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	16.8	17.7	14.9	16.2
CLE	14.7	12.6	13.0	17.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	32	35	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.03	9	-15	24	15.6	16.5	-0.87	14.9	14.0	0.90
Sam Young	22	24	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.02	9	-15	24	15.4	16.4	-1.05	13.5	14.6	-1.09
Tony Allen	10	11	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-8	10	13.4	16.5	-3.10	20.0	13.6	6.43
Darrell Arthur	43	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-12	18	15.9	16.4	-0.49	13.3	15.2	-1.86
O.J. Mayo	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-13	20	15.5	16.9	-1.43	15.0	13.6	1.36
Xavier Henry	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	7	-20	16.9	15.5	1.43	13.6	15.0	-1.36
Marc Gasol	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	16.5	15.0	1.49	15.4	11.2	4.17
Rudy Gay	73	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.35	-14	8	-22	16.2	16.1	0.10	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Mike Conley	63	61	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.32	-16	10	-26	16.2	16.1	0.11	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Zach Randolph	62	62	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.48	-16	10	-26	16.9	14.7	2.15	13.4	16.0	-2.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	58	57	1.12	-0.62	1.74	0.48	22	-16	38	14.0	14.8	-0.77	16.7	15.3	1.39
Mo Williams	69	69	1.04	-0.54	1.57	0.24	27	-21	48	13.9	15.3	-1.37	16.6	15.0	1.65
Anderson Varejao	59	59	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.32	23	-17	40	14.6	13.9	0.69	16.6	15.5	1.05
JJ Hickson	46	46	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.44	17	-11	28	13.6	15.0	-1.46	17.6	14.8	2.82
Anthony Parker	54	55	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.27	20	-14	34	14.3	14.3	-0.05	16.3	16.1	0.20
Daniel Gibson	42	41	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.01	-11	17	-28	14.0	14.5	-0.48	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Antawn Jamison	48	46	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.06	-14	20	-34	15.3	13.3	1.97	15.3	17.0	-1.61
Ryan Hollins	36	35	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.00	-17	23	-40	13.9	14.6	-0.69	15.5	16.6	-1.05
Ramon Sessions	26	25	-0.54	1.04	-1.57	0.08	-21	27	-48	15.3	13.9	1.37	15.0	16.6	-1.65
Jamario Moon	37	37	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.15	-16	22	-38	14.8	14.0	0.77	15.3	16.7	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.69,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.27,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 125, MIL 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.38,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.47,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	90.1%
MIA 108, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.64,0.86,0.85,1	89.7%
ORL 84, PHX 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.92,1	89.6%