NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	2.2 [1283]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +12.2%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.0 [1026]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -6.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Leon Powe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	46%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	0.00	0.10	10	68%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	0.01	0.06	9	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	11	60%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	64%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	10	73%	0.05	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	17	62%	0.07	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	27.0	15.5	25.5	2.7	23.5	125.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.5%

IND +8.1%

CLE -3.0%

IND +11.0%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	93.7	103.1	105.7
season	15.1	14.7		100.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.3	16.9	17.3	13.9	14.6
IND	14.9	15.2	14.7	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	16	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-24	37	13.6	14.8	-1.20	16.2	15.2	0.98
Jawad Williams	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.47	16	-27	43	13.9	14.8	-0.93	16.7	14.9	1.72
Jamario Moon	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-5	-1	11.8	15.2	-3.48	16.7	15.1	1.62
Ryan Hollins	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-13	15	13.5	15.1	-1.64	16.6	14.9	1.69
Ramon Sessions	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.61	16	-27	43	13.8	15.4	-1.65	16.5	14.2	2.32
Antawn Jamison	47	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.55	11	-22	33	13.7	15.6	-1.90	16.4	14.3	2.16
Daniel Gibson	49	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.58	12	-23	35	13.9	15.4	-1.49	16.4	14.2	2.15
Anthony Parker	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.40	-23	12	-35	15.4	13.9	1.49	14.2	16.4	-2.15
JJ Hickson	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.37	-22	11	-33	15.6	13.7	1.90	14.3	16.4	-2.16
Mo Williams	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.43	-27	16	-43	15.4	13.8	1.65	14.2	16.5	-2.32
Joey Graham	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.25	-21	10	-31	15.8	13.0	2.80	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Anderson Varejao	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.40	-26	15	-41	15.6	13.5	2.07	14.4	16.4	-1.98

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	64	63	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.16	24	-13	37	15.1	15.9	-0.82	15.4	13.0	2.44
Josh McRoberts	58	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	1	9	15.3	15.5	-0.28	14.6	14.6	-0.05
Darren Collison	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-9	29	15.3	15.6	-0.36	15.3	13.1	2.15
Roy Hibbert	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.36	26	-15	41	15.9	15.0	0.90	15.4	14.0	1.32
Brandon Rush	61	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	15	-19	15.6	15.0	0.55	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Mike Dunleavy	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.27	17	-6	23	14.6	16.2	-1.57	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Solomon Jones	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	10	-9	13.7	16.2	-2.49	14.1	14.8	-0.71
T.J. Ford	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	20	-29	15.6	15.3	0.36	13.1	15.3	-2.15
Tyler Hansbrough	39	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	20	-29	15.8	15.1	0.67	15.8	13.9	1.86
Paul George	18	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.40	-15	26	-41	17.8	14.8	2.95	12.4	15.1	-2.76
James Posey	24	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	17	-23	16.3	15.1	1.22	12.1	15.4	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, POR 127	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
MIL 80, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
NYK 79, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%