NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	2.0 [1295]		MVP	Ira Newble (CLE): +6.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	1.0 [1297]		LVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): -12.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	8	48%	0.03	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	4	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	14	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	0.08	15	53%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	14	73%	0.13	8	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	6	89%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	9	53%	0.05	4	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.18	0.00	-0.12	6	35%	-0.02	5	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.4	31.3	16.7	28.1	2.7	31.0	137.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.2%

CLE +3.0%

CLE +3.2%

CLE +3.6%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.5	82.3	106.1	104.0
season	15.8	16.2		103.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	16.2	14.3	13.9	14.7
CLE	17.0	11.9	15.0	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-25	25	15.0	14.7	0.31	17.1	14.6	2.58
Vin Baker	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-19	13	13.1	15.4	-2.32	15.3	14.8	0.53
Moochie Norris	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-16	7	15.9	14.4	1.54	15.5	14.8	0.65
Trevor Ariza	51	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-14	3	14.2	15.3	-1.08	14.8	15.1	-0.26
Nazr Mohammed	61	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-16	7	15.1	14.1	0.98	15.2	14.4	0.81
Jerome Williams	39	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-12	-1	15.6	14.1	1.52	14.3	15.4	-1.04
Tim Thomas	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	-12	-1	14.5	14.9	-0.39	15.2	14.8	0.38
Allan Houston	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.30	-22	-3	-19	15.0	14.1	0.86	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Stephon Marbury	75	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	-5	-15	14.7	15.0	-0.33	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Kurt Thomas	77	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.21	-22	-3	-19	14.5	15.8	-1.31	14.6	16.5	-1.96

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	41	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.38	25	0	25	13.8	15.8	-2.05	15.5	14.2	1.30
Anderson Varejao	44	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	3	19	13.8	15.9	-2.01	15.0	14.6	0.39
Robert Traylor	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.39	23	2	21	13.7	15.5	-1.75	14.9	14.7	0.28
Lucious Harris	34	33	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.33	21	4	17	13.8	15.6	-1.81	15.3	14.4	0.86
LeBron James	67	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	20	-15	15.4	14.1	1.29	14.4	15.4	-0.91
Sasha Pavlovic	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.29	18	7	11	14.1	15.5	-1.44	14.6	14.8	-0.28
Ira Newble	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	19	-13	15.7	13.8	1.94	14.9	14.6	0.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.12	3	22	-19	15.7	13.7	2.02	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Drew Gooden	54	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	22	-19	15.9	13.8	2.01	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Jeff McInnis	57	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	25	-25	15.8	13.8	2.05	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Scott Williams	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	13.6	15.1	-1.44	15.7	14.7	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
UTA 80, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 80, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%