inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 80 Excitement1.9 [1303] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +8.5%
San Antonio Spurs 109 Comeback1.0 [985] LVPCarlos Boozer (UTA): -6.1%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01667%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Kyle Korver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01960%0.012-0.012100%0.00
Jason Hart-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03217%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Ronnie Price-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.08819%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.021037%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01846%-0.011-0.02887%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.04760%-0.012-0.021100%0.00
Deron Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03642%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.060,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.02844%-0.024-0.042100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.024100%0.091-0.004100%0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.00-0.00686%0.092-0.022100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.00762%0.0700.002100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.031760%0.094-0.03667%-0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02583%0.061-0.022100%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04958%0.0400.00667%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02375%0.0200.0020%-0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.103133%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.09312%0.0020.00250%-0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03743%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.02.831.218.828.13.729.0142.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +43.7%
SAS +0.1%
UTA -1.3%
SAS +6.5%
SAS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASASNBAUTASASNBA
this game17.314.515.488.9119.8105.7
season15.516.5111.2104.7
opponent15.315.0100.5105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.716.717.917.017.3
SAS13.013.317.215.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Price32300.01-0.510.52-0.145-343917.517.20.3315.214.21.02
Jarron Collins3332-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-313317.217.4-0.2216.013.82.19
Jason Hart2425-0.01-0.490.470.19-7-221516.817.5-0.6215.014.40.68
Matt Harpring2322-0.09-0.410.330.21-10-19919.016.72.3015.414.31.13
CJ Miles3536-0.10-0.400.300.22-11-18716.218.0-1.7413.615.1-1.51
Paul Millsap4445-0.10-0.400.300.19-10-19917.916.71.1215.513.61.90
Ronnie Brewer3737-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-5-241917.916.81.0715.414.01.44
Kyle Korver3840-0.21-0.290.090.29-17-12-517.617.10.5515.114.11.07
Carlos Boozer5354-0.40-0.10-0.310.12-18-11-716.817.9-1.1213.516.1-2.63
Andrei Kirilenko4951-0.41-0.09-0.330.11-18-11-716.718.0-1.2613.915.3-1.43
Mehmet Okur4646-0.49-0.01-0.480.36-290-2917.317.3-0.0113.915.2-1.33
Deron Williams3637-0.500.00-0.510.29-27-2-2517.217.3-0.0613.415.4-1.97

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker56560.490.010.48-0.182361714.414.7-0.2717.317.3-0.01
Michael Finley43430.450.050.40-0.202271513.915.1-1.2616.717.9-1.22
Tim Duncan53520.400.100.30-0.131811713.715.7-1.9516.917.8-0.87
Fabricio Oberto41410.350.150.19-0.302271515.114.11.0917.117.4-0.35
Ime Udoka37380.220.28-0.06-0.02821-1316.113.52.5416.717.7-1.09
Bruce Bowen34330.190.31-0.130.10326-2314.914.40.5317.417.20.17
Kurt Thomas39380.160.34-0.17-0.361811713.715.2-1.4618.116.71.37
Manu Ginobili37360.140.36-0.22-0.241316-314.014.9-0.8817.916.91.00
Matt Bonner43430.090.41-0.32-0.06524-1915.613.62.0017.517.10.38
Jacque Vaughn35340.010.49-0.48-0.17623-1714.714.40.2717.317.30.01
Brent Barry17170.000.50-0.49-0.08326-2313.814.7-0.9718.617.01.67
Damon Stoudamire20190.000.50-0.50-0.12425-2114.514.50.0016.817.4-0.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 79, CLE 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
CLE 89, IND 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
CHA 96, POR 1270.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%