NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	81		Excitement	8.2 [213]		MVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): +12.2%
Sacramento Kings	86		Comeback	2.1 [656]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -31.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	12	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	10	71%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.05
Devin Harris	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.37,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.19	-0.13	-0.01	12	36%	-0.01	7	-0.31	4	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	4	83%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.03	11	37%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	38%	-0.01	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	21	43%	0.12	5	-0.23	5	80%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	12	60%	0.08	6	-0.22	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	29.6	15.6	25.2	1.7	38.2	138.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.3%

SAC +4.1%

SAC +20.0%

SAC +5.6%

SAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	17.7	17.2	15.5	97.6	104.9	105.7
season	16.4	14.9		101.6	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.3		107.7	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.2	16.2	20.1	17.2	17.7
SAC	17.0	16.5	15.8	19.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	18	16	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.05	2	-7	9	16.4	18.0	-1.63	17.6	17.2	0.47
Quinton Ross	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	20.2	17.5	2.70	12.2	17.6	-5.37
Kris Humphries	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-8	11	17.5	17.9	-0.37	18.0	15.8	2.19
Stephen Graham	17	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	1	-7	16.9	17.8	-0.91	14.5	17.9	-3.32
Anthony Morrow	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-7	9	17.3	19.4	-2.12	17.9	13.9	4.08
Jordan Farmar	36	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	0	-5	16.4	18.6	-2.20	17.0	17.4	-0.43
Travis Outlaw	65	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-6	7	18.1	16.2	1.84	17.9	14.5	3.32
Derrick Favors	30	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	3	-11	17.9	17.5	0.37	15.8	18.0	-2.19
Devin Harris	58	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	5	-15	18.1	16.6	1.58	17.1	17.5	-0.40
Brook Lopez	64	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	1	-7	18.2	15.7	2.57	17.0	18.0	-0.95

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	51	53	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-5	15	18.1	15.9	2.16	17.8	17.4	0.36
Donte Greene	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-5	15	17.9	15.6	2.29	19.4	13.9	5.50
DeMarcus Cousins	47	48	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	5	-5	18.3	15.8	2.47	18.5	16.6	1.89
Tyreke Evans	70	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	7	-9	17.2	17.3	-0.10	17.2	20.4	-3.23
Carl Landry	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	8	-11	17.7	15.9	1.71	17.2	19.0	-1.85
Jason Thompson	18	19	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	1	3	15.4	17.8	-2.38	17.4	17.7	-0.38
Francisco Garcia	29	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	4	-3	15.8	18.1	-2.30	15.3	19.1	-3.82
Beno Udrih	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	16.3	18.1	-1.78	17.1	18.2	-1.15
Darnell Jackson	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	5	-5	13.5	17.3	-3.84	16.0	17.7	-1.70
Samuel Dalembert	35	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	1	3	16.3	18.0	-1.72	18.5	17.1	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	92.5%
ATL 80, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.85,0.96,0.96,1	92.2%
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	92.2%