NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	7.2 [398]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +20.7%
Denver Nuggets	120		Comeback	1.1 [1076]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -9.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	16	61%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.07
Landry Fields	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	15	68%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Henry Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	19	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.12
Timofey Mozgov	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	19	46%	-0.07	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	9	77%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	13	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	-0.00	15	59%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.08	0.06	-0.02	8	30%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07
J.R. Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.04	-0.00	12	42%	0.00	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	21	46%	0.01	5	-0.11	14	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	32.0	16.6	26.6	2.5	38.9	148.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +46.4%

NYK -2.0%

DEN +8.4%

DEN +5.2%

NYK -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	12.7	14.1	15.5	110.3	111.1	105.7
season	14.3	14.3		108.6	110.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.8	14.4	11.9	11.4	12.7
DEN	14.3	12.7	14.3	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	23	21	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.23	11	-13	24	12.2	12.8	-0.56	15.3	13.9	1.44
Anthony Randolph	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	5	-12	12.9	12.6	0.25	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Timofey Mozgov	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	3	-8	12.4	12.7	-0.33	13.7	14.3	-0.52
Ronny Turiaf	28	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	13.0	12.5	0.52	14.4	14.0	0.32
Landry Fields	86	87	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.53	12	-14	26	12.0	15.3	-3.27	14.4	13.1	1.22
Raymond Felton	88	90	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.53	11	-13	24	12.0	15.6	-3.62	14.4	12.6	1.82
Roger Mason Jr.	12	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	9	-20	17.7	12.0	5.74	12.7	14.3	-1.55
Toney Douglas	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	9	-20	13.9	12.0	1.94	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Danilo Gallinari	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.47	5	-7	12	12.4	13.4	-0.95	14.2	14.0	0.17
Wilson Chandler	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-1	0	12.9	12.3	0.63	14.1	14.3	-0.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	10	-22	12.8	12.3	0.48	13.8	14.9	-1.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	86	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	1	0	14.0	14.5	-0.47	12.7	12.4	0.31
Shelden Williams	74	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-8	18	13.5	15.4	-1.87	13.1	11.6	1.56
Nene	69	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	1	0	14.4	13.6	0.80	12.3	13.3	-1.07
Ty Lawson	55	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.38	-3	5	-8	13.7	14.5	-0.82	12.9	12.4	0.57
Chauncey Billups	77	76	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	4	-6	14.0	14.4	-0.36	11.7	15.0	-3.35
Carmelo Anthony	84	82	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	5	-8	14.5	13.0	1.51	12.0	14.8	-2.80
Al Harrington	44	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	-1	4	14.8	13.6	1.20	13.7	11.9	1.79
Gary Forbes	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	-1	4	14.2	14.0	0.22	14.0	11.6	2.41
J.R. Smith	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	2	-2	13.0	14.2	-1.16	8.7	12.8	-4.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.55,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 109, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	93.0%
PHI 77, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.96,0.92,1	92.9%
NJN 75, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	92.9%