NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	6.9 [462]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +35.0%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	4.8 [212]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -19.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.35	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35	0.17	0.18	0.00	20	72%	0.42	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	58%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	20%	-0.06
Joakim Noah	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	63%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Taj Gibson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-0.00	21	33%	-0.06	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	17	67%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	15	62%	0.19	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.02	15	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	5	54%	-0.03	4	-0.16	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.0	27.0	15.8	29.2	2.5	43.1	143.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.0%

HOU -15.1%

CHI +8.7%

CHI +16.4%

HOU -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	16.3	15.5	101.1	100.0	105.7
season	15.7	15.2		106.5	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.9		107.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	13.0	15.9	14.3	14.6
HOU	16.7	18.3	14.1	16.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	63	59	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.45	16	-13	29	14.1	15.8	-1.73	17.2	14.7	2.51
Kyle Korver	50	51	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.21	23	-20	43	14.5	14.9	-0.40	16.7	15.9	0.74
Omer Asik	38	35	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.34	16	-13	29	13.1	15.7	-2.55	16.6	16.2	0.38
Derrick Rose	70	70	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.57	6	-3	9	15.0	13.6	1.38	17.5	12.7	4.74
Luol Deng	83	81	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	7	-11	14.9	13.0	1.87	15.8	20.0	-4.16
CJ Watson	24	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.21	0	3	-3	13.6	15.0	-1.38	12.4	17.6	-5.20
Keith Bogans	28	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	15	-27	15.7	14.2	1.47	16.0	16.5	-0.43
Taj Gibson	54	54	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	15	-27	15.3	13.7	1.61	16.6	16.0	0.53
Joakim Noah	60	59	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.20	-18	21	-39	15.0	14.1	0.88	15.8	17.3	-1.46

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	72	73	0.36	-0.86	1.23	-0.31	23	-26	49	16.0	17.5	-1.49	15.2	12.9	2.31
Shane Battier	77	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.40	10	-13	23	16.0	17.9	-1.83	15.0	12.9	2.04
Jordan Hill	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	3	-9	19.7	15.9	3.85	12.9	14.9	-1.96
Ish Smith	10	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	5	-13	15.1	16.5	-1.39	11.5	15.1	-3.62
Kevin Martin	81	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-6	9	16.4	16.2	0.18	14.7	14.3	0.40
Kyle Lowry	82	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-7	11	16.5	15.1	1.39	15.1	11.5	3.62
Charles Hayes	26	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	12	-27	15.8	16.5	-0.68	13.7	15.0	-1.27
Brad Miller	74	77	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.60	-4	1	-5	16.5	15.5	1.04	14.9	13.5	1.37
Courtney Lee	27	29	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.08	-22	19	-41	16.5	16.3	0.26	13.1	15.3	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.52,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.2,0.17,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 112, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	92.5%
NYK 101, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.48,0.52,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.03,0,0.02,0	91.4%
NOP 99, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	90.8%