NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	6.4 [515]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NYK): +15.6%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	4.2 [143]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -17.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.02	0.16	-0.02	20	51%	0.20	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.06
Othella Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.06	-0.02	23	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	12	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	8	64%	0.09	6	-0.21	12	92%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	12	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	54%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	11	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	9	36%	-0.12	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	13	67%	0.06	6	-0.24	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	29.4	15.6	25.4	2.3	35.6	134.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +14.6%

NYK +4.5%

NYK +13.2%

NYK +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	15.7	102.0	99.0	100.5
season	15.5	15.2		98.6	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	15.5	13.9	13.5	14.4
CHI	16.6	14.5	13.2	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	45	46	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.26	18	-13	31	16.9	12.3	4.63	15.6	14.5	1.18
Moochie Norris	19	20	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-9	23	15.5	14.1	1.35	16.6	14.6	2.07
Allan Houston	77	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	0	5	13.9	16.1	-2.25	15.5	13.2	2.36
Keith Van Horn	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	4	-3	13.9	15.8	-1.88	15.1	14.6	0.58
Kurt Thomas	77	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	5	-5	14.1	15.3	-1.20	15.7	12.6	3.07
Michael Doleac	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-1	7	14.4	14.4	0.05	13.3	16.0	-2.76
Anfernee Hardaway	48	47	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	1	3	15.6	13.2	2.37	13.6	16.4	-2.79
Shandon Anderson	8	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	8	-11	5.0	15.2	-10.21	10.6	15.4	-4.78
Stephon Marbury	80	77	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.18	-9	14	-23	14.1	15.5	-1.35	14.6	16.6	-2.07
Dikembe Mutombo	29	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	16	-27	14.2	14.5	-0.30	16.1	14.6	1.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	74	77	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-15	25	14.9	15.5	-0.61	14.2	14.9	-0.62
Rick Brunson	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-8	11	12.0	15.0	-3.04	0.0	14.5	-14.53
Marcus Fizer	14	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	0	-5	14.1	15.2	-1.01	14.8	14.3	0.44
Kendall Gill	18	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	1	-7	14.6	15.1	-0.56	15.1	14.2	0.88
Kirk Hinrich	77	80	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-10	15	15.4	13.7	1.65	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Jamal Crawford	73	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-10	15	14.8	15.8	-1.04	14.0	15.8	-1.82
Ronald Dupree	77	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-10	15	15.3	14.0	1.21	14.7	13.1	1.58
Eddy Curry	56	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	15.9	13.8	2.05	14.3	14.5	-0.13
Jerome Williams	19	17	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	10	-25	14.4	15.2	-0.73	13.1	14.7	-1.60
Corie Blount	43	41	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	6	-17	15.3	14.8	0.48	16.6	12.8	3.72
Scottie Pippen	33	34	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	7	-19	13.8	15.7	-1.90	13.2	15.0	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.48,0.52,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.03,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 112, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	92.8%
CLE 103, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0	92.1%
MEM 85, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	91.9%