NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	6.5 [524]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +28.4%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	2.3 [191]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -13.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.28	0.03	0.24	-0.01	13	69%	0.40	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.06
Serge Ibaka	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	13	73%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eric Maynor	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	40%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DJ White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	0.08	-0.07	0.08	17	60%	0.00	3	-0.07	16	100%	0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.03	0.00	18	79%	0.30	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	14	52%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.01	15	59%	0.04	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	9	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	14	40%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	28.9	15.8	22.4	2.4	36.8	134.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +20.6%

OKC +13.7%

UTA -3.1%

OKC +18.9%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.5	123.7	118.7	105.7
season	15.0	15.9		108.8	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.7	17.5	15.2	15.7	15.2
UTA	16.2	15.2	16.9	16.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	78	76	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	1	5	14.7	17.9	-3.21	15.7	18.2	-2.46
Kevin Durant	76	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	15.2	15.2	-0.08	16.3	15.5	0.75
Thabo Sefolosha	63	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	1	5	15.9	13.7	2.12	15.0	18.5	-3.57
Nenad Krstic	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	4	-1	16.0	13.9	2.11	16.5	15.5	1.03
Russell Westbrook	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.49	-6	13	-19	14.5	16.3	-1.75	16.0	16.5	-0.47
Royal Ivey	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	-1	9	17.3	14.6	2.71	12.9	17.0	-4.09
Eric Maynor	32	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	3	1	14.2	15.7	-1.50	17.5	15.5	1.97
DJ White	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	6	-5	14.2	15.3	-1.13	16.0	16.2	-0.17
Nick Collison	34	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	5	-3	16.2	14.6	1.63	17.2	15.6	1.66
James Harden	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	13.7	15.9	-2.12	18.5	15.0	3.57

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	14	15	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.01	9	-16	25	14.9	16.4	-1.44	18.1	14.6	3.45
Francisco Elson	15	15	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-10	13	16.3	16.1	0.23	17.3	14.8	2.58
Jeremy Evans	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	-2	-3	23.4	15.7	7.68	8.6	15.5	-6.95
Gordon Hayward	42	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-11	15	16.1	16.2	-0.09	15.4	14.9	0.49
Kyrylo Fesenko	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	18.1	16.0	2.17	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Ronnie Price	26	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	2	-11	16.1	16.2	-0.04	15.9	14.9	1.01
CJ Miles	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-5	3	16.9	15.2	1.68	14.5	16.0	-1.54
Andrei Kirilenko	68	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-6	5	15.6	17.9	-2.31	15.6	13.8	1.83
Al Jefferson	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	2	-11	15.6	18.0	-2.44	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Paul Millsap	78	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	-1	-5	16.0	17.1	-1.09	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Deron Williams	77	78	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.29	-16	9	-25	16.4	14.9	1.44	14.6	18.1	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.05,0,0	93.3%
CHI 81, MIL 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.1,0,0	93.2%
NOH 100, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	92.6%