NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	4.8 [834]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +19.2%
Toronto Raptors	131		Comeback	1.1 [1174]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -11.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Walker	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.20	-0.01	0.06	17	68%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
J.R. Giddens	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Barron	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	17	51%	0.02	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.01	13	72%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	11	80%	0.21	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.02	15	71%	0.20	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	12	75%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	8	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	30.4	15.7	30.0	2.5	25.1	130.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +53.6%

TOR +1.3%

NYK -13.1%

TOR +10.6%

NYK -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.3	115.3	136.5	106.0
season	14.7	15.0		105.9	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	13.1	17.1	14.8	15.4
TOR	13.1	13.6	12.9	17.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	49	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-13	8	16.9	13.9	3.04	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Henry Walker	74	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-12	6	15.4	15.5	-0.14	13.9	15.3	-1.35
Earl Barron	80	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-8	-2	15.2	16.2	-1.01	15.2	10.5	4.65
J.R. Giddens	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	-5	-8	14.7	15.7	-1.01	16.9	13.2	3.74
Sergio Rodriguez	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-3	-12	14.6	15.9	-1.31	16.0	13.1	2.85
Danilo Gallinari	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-8	-2	15.7	14.2	1.57	13.8	16.0	-2.26
David Lee	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-8	-2	15.8	14.4	1.45	13.1	17.3	-4.14
Toney Douglas	73	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	3	-24	14.5	17.9	-3.33	14.2	14.5	-0.32

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	68	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.12	26	-8	34	13.6	16.0	-2.43	16.5	12.8	3.65
DeMar DeRozan	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	6	6	14.3	14.1	0.29	14.7	18.0	-3.30
Marco Belinelli	44	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	1	16	15.6	13.2	2.46	14.6	16.0	-1.37
Jose Calderon	41	44	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	7	4	13.4	14.9	-1.51	17.3	13.8	3.48
Hedo Turkoglu	37	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	7	4	13.9	14.5	-0.59	16.4	14.6	1.76
Amir Johnson	79	81	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	14	-10	14.2	14.8	-0.66	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Jarrett Jack	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.00	7	11	-4	14.9	13.4	1.51	13.8	17.3	-3.48
Sonny Weems	64	67	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	13	-8	14.6	13.6	0.98	15.7	14.8	0.82
Rasho Nesterovic	15	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	21	-24	13.4	14.4	-1.04	12.3	15.9	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 109, PHI 131	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHI 88, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
GSW 92, PHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%