NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	2.2 [1282]		MVP	Shaun Livingston (WAS): +12.0%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	1.0 [621]		LVP	Anthony Morrow (GSW): -4.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.04	21	59%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	14	56%	0.03	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Reggie Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	15	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	34%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Chris Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	15	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.19	0.01	0.07	11	84%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.02	-0.07	16	57%	0.12	4	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	18	69%	0.10	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	18	62%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	100%	0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	10%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	27.3	16.6	25.4	2.5	27.2	129.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.1%

GSW -0.5%

WAS +15.5%

GSW -5.9%

WAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.3	103.3	121.7	106.0
season	13.4	15.7		106.5	102.6
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.9	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.2	12.7	19.1	19.7	15.4
WAS	13.9	15.0	17.7	19.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-19	20	14.7	15.9	-1.24	17.2	15.1	2.09
Chris Hunter	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-7	-4	16.2	13.3	2.87	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Anthony Morrow	62	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-6	-6	14.4	17.4	-3.03	16.2	15.9	0.27
Anthony Tolliver	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-6	-6	16.1	11.8	4.25	16.4	14.7	1.73
Corey Maggette	64	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	5	-28	15.0	16.2	-1.19	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Reggie Williams	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-6	-6	15.5	14.4	1.08	16.5	13.9	2.67
Stephen Curry	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.18	-21	3	-24	15.2	15.7	-0.48	14.9	19.5	-4.61

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	72	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.35	28	-10	38	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.5	14.9	0.58
Andray Blatche	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.28	24	-6	30	17.0	14.5	2.47	16.3	13.2	3.09
Mike Miller	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	4	10	15.5	17.4	-1.90	14.5	17.2	-2.72
Nick Young	83	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	5	8	16.2	15.4	0.75	15.4	14.8	0.64
JaVale McGee	59	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	15	-12	16.3	15.9	0.38	14.9	16.1	-1.27
Cartier Martin	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	9	0	16.9	15.5	1.44	16.6	14.4	2.20
James Singleton	42	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	17	-16	15.7	16.5	-0.79	14.0	16.4	-2.37
Fabricio Oberto	22	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	10	-2	14.3	16.7	-2.43	16.3	15.1	1.21
Cedric Jackson	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.32	-10	28	-38	15.8	16.2	-0.41	14.9	15.5	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, PHI 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
BOS 88, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SEA 87, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%