inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 92 Excitement6.2 [555] MVPRashard Lewis (ORL): +16.0%
Orlando Magic 107 Comeback1.8 [973] LVPDarrell Arthur (MEM): -10.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.021456%0.031-0.021567%-0.06
Marcus Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00450%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Hamed Haddadi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Conley-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.041158%0.012-0.052100%0.01
O.J. Mayo-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.021547%-0.001-0.046100%0.07
Sam Young-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.02750%-0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.001449%0.075-0.14967%-0.01
Darrell Arthur-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01833%0.003-0.112100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.02-0.028100%0.213-0.05250%-0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.010.00965%0.1100.00580%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.040.071369%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.001144%0.0600.003100%0.03
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.05-0.00750%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.12-0.020.091860%0.051-0.03786%0.00
Ryan Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03333%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.01642%0.004-0.10757%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.43.329.616.735.32.631.7150.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +52.9%
MEM -7.9%
MEM -10.1%
ORL +8.6%
ORL +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMORLNBAMEMORLNBA
this game15.715.315.398.9115.1106.0
season15.415.4106.8110.1
opponent15.915.0101.9108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.115.317.014.215.7
ORL13.916.013.617.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarre Carroll33-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-131113.015.8-2.7816.315.21.09
Hamed Haddadi76-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-151513.715.8-2.1312.215.5-3.33
Marcus Williams2424-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-151514.316.2-1.8317.414.52.88
Hasheem Thabeet3637-0.13-0.370.230.19-11-4-717.114.82.3214.415.9-1.50
Sam Young3231-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-9315.915.60.3317.314.32.97
O.J. Mayo8384-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-5-515.517.1-1.5815.018.2-3.26
Zach Randolph8384-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.19-4-11715.517.2-1.6915.711.74.00
Rudy Gay7878-0.41-0.09-0.310.03-150-1515.914.51.4615.215.5-0.30
Mike Conley6969-0.43-0.07-0.350.01-150-1516.214.31.8314.517.4-2.88
Darrell Arthur5049-0.560.06-0.62-0.21-12-3-915.216.3-1.1015.015.6-0.63

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass41390.480.020.460.2587115.914.81.1115.216.1-0.92
Marcin Gortat28260.460.040.420.081321116.614.71.9514.916.0-1.06
Jason Williams33340.420.080.340.1887115.515.20.2716.215.40.86
Vince Carter56560.400.100.29-0.011411314.915.8-0.8415.815.50.33
JJ Redick54530.340.160.180.05105516.214.02.2014.816.9-2.08
Mickael Pietrus42420.280.220.060.16411-715.914.81.1415.915.50.31
Jameer Nelson60590.080.42-0.34-0.1278-115.215.5-0.2715.416.2-0.86
Dwight Howard65670.040.46-0.42-0.02213-1114.716.6-1.9516.014.91.06
Rashard Lewis51530.020.48-0.46-0.1978-115.115.5-0.4516.215.01.25
Ryan Anderson110.000.50-0.500.00015-150.015.4-15.458.015.8-7.77
Matt Barnes3435-0.010.51-0.53-0.07213-1113.616.3-2.6716.615.11.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 89, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.93,1,193.5%
MIL 90, NJN 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,193.4%
WAS 86, ORL 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,1,1,193.3%