NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	4.0 [1006]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): +16.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	1.1 [953]		LVP	Hasheem Thabeet (MEM): -5.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	14	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	21	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.02	18	66%	0.19	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.04	8	86%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	19	45%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	14	44%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	50%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	25.2	16.5	28.4	2.5	30.6	128.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +20.3%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +18.9%

MEM +1.6%

MEM +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	15.3	98.0	108.1	106.0
season	15.5	15.4		106.0	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.3	15.9	13.0	12.3	14.5
MEM	14.0	14.8	14.7	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	17	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-18	25	10.5	15.3	-4.82	16.4	14.3	2.10
Emeka Okafor	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-13	15	15.3	13.9	1.36	15.0	14.5	0.43
James Posey	42	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-12	13	13.2	15.5	-2.23	15.1	14.5	0.61
Darius Songaila	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-11	11	12.9	15.5	-2.60	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Marcus Thornton	80	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-6	1	13.9	17.3	-3.46	14.8	14.5	0.31
Morris Peterson	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-1	-9	16.0	13.1	2.96	15.0	14.5	0.50
David West	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	0	-11	16.0	12.5	3.52	14.5	15.0	-0.43
Chris Paul	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	0	-11	15.1	12.7	2.39	14.8	14.5	0.26
Aaron Gray	37	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	9	-29	15.4	14.0	1.48	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Darren Collison	57	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	13.9	15.4	-1.47	14.2	15.5	-1.34

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	44	45	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	-13	37	14.1	15.3	-1.19	14.4	14.6	-0.24
Marcus Williams	36	37	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.15	17	-6	23	14.6	14.8	-0.23	15.8	13.7	2.05
Rudy Gay	74	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	11	-11	14.8	14.6	0.22	14.2	15.3	-1.03
Hasheem Thabeet	54	52	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	11	-11	15.8	13.4	2.35	15.4	13.5	1.90
Zach Randolph	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	1	9	14.8	14.7	0.15	13.9	15.0	-1.13
Darrell Arthur	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	9	-7	14.3	15.1	-0.78	14.9	14.2	0.70
O.J. Mayo	84	83	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	13	-15	15.3	11.7	3.53	14.3	15.5	-1.13
Mike Conley	66	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	17	-23	14.5	15.3	-0.82	13.7	16.1	-2.43
Hamed Haddadi	32	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	2	7	12.9	15.6	-2.74	15.2	14.1	1.07
DeMarre Carroll	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	10	-9	16.5	14.5	2.05	13.2	14.7	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
TOR 88, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
GSW 86, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%