NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	4.2 [954]		MVP	Darko Milicic (MIN): +9.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	1.4 [771]		LVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): -8.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.01	0.04	13	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	71%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	19	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Carl Landry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	24	43%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.00	0.07	9	90%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	58%	0.12	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	59%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	30.9	15.8	21.2	2.6	32.0	127.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +40.3%

MIN +6.3%

MIN +14.9%

SAC -10.6%

SAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.3	104.2	113.7	106.0
season	15.2	14.7		103.7	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.0	13.4	16.1	13.3	14.9
MIN	15.1	16.0	14.5	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-10	11	12.9	15.3	-2.39	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Jon Brockman	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-4	-1	16.2	14.4	1.77	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Donte Greene	61	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-15	21	14.2	16.2	-2.07	15.5	15.2	0.36
Carl Landry	87	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-7	5	14.6	17.7	-3.11	15.1	19.1	-4.03
Tyreke Evans	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.31	-3	-6	3	15.5	12.6	2.84	15.5	15.0	0.52
Andres Nocioni	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	8	-25	16.6	11.7	4.90	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Beno Udrih	72	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	2	-13	14.1	17.3	-3.22	15.8	14.0	1.87
Jason Thompson	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	5	-19	14.6	16.0	-1.37	15.7	14.6	1.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	1	7	15.0	16.9	-1.92	14.6	16.2	-1.64
Ryan Gomes	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	0	9	15.6	14.9	0.73	15.0	14.8	0.19
Jonny Flynn	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	15.4	15.6	-0.20	14.1	17.6	-3.50
Corey Brewer	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-2	13	14.6	16.5	-1.85	14.2	15.8	-1.54
Kevin Love	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	1	7	15.8	15.1	0.72	16.3	13.8	2.52
Sasha Pavlovic	39	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	2	5	15.6	15.3	0.35	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Al Jefferson	71	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	7	-5	15.4	15.3	0.10	14.5	16.4	-1.96
Ramon Sessions	23	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	15.6	15.4	0.20	17.6	14.1	3.50
Wayne Ellington	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.29	-9	18	-27	16.5	14.9	1.54	16.4	14.2	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 87, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 94, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,1	95.6%