NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	3.8 [1038]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +11.8%
Denver Nuggets	98		Comeback	1.2 [452]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -12.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07	0.03	-0.02	0.09	12	69%	-0.00	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12	0.00	-0.02	0.10	18	55%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	15	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Mengke Bateer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.00	-0.07	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	25.8	16.8	24.4	2.4	32.3	127.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.3%

DEN +4.6%

DEN +3.2%

DEN +2.6%

DEN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	17.2	15.6	106.8	111.4	102.3
season	15.1	16.1		101.0	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	17.9	15.2	13.9	15.5
DEN	18.9	20.0	13.6	17.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Ford	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.28	9	-13	22	12.7	17.0	-4.29	16.8	17.5	-0.72
John Wallace	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	13.4	16.0	-2.57	14.7	17.9	-3.23
Joe Johnson	50	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-1	-2	17.1	13.4	3.69	18.2	16.0	2.23
Milt Palacio	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	4	-12	15.6	15.4	0.15	14.2	18.6	-4.40
Stephon Marbury	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-8	12	15.4	15.6	-0.15	18.6	14.2	4.40
Shawn Marion	67	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-10	16	15.9	14.3	1.58	18.1	14.3	3.74
Dan Majerle	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	4	-12	15.4	15.6	-0.27	14.0	21.1	-7.12
Bo Outlaw	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-5	6	15.8	15.0	0.73	18.6	14.8	3.76
Jake Voskuhl	43	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	7	-18	17.0	14.0	2.96	19.7	15.0	4.78
Anfernee Hardaway	41	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	3	-10	14.1	16.7	-2.56	15.5	18.8	-3.28

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	52	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	-2	8	18.4	15.6	2.85	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Donnell Harvey	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	-2	8	16.9	18.2	-1.39	14.7	17.5	-2.80
Calbert Cheaney	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-6	16	16.0	21.2	-5.19	15.3	16.2	-0.92
Zendon Hamilton	43	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-7	18	17.3	17.2	0.03	16.3	14.7	1.66
Kenny Satterfield	33	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	1	2	19.5	15.9	3.55	15.8	15.3	0.58
George McCloud	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	3	-2	15.9	19.5	-3.55	15.3	15.8	-0.58
James Posey	57	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.43	-8	12	-20	17.6	16.5	1.12	15.8	15.0	0.77
Ryan Bowen	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.43	-8	12	-20	17.1	17.3	-0.16	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Mengke Bateer	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	5	-6	18.0	16.7	1.29	16.1	15.1	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MEM 79, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 85, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%