NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	121		Excitement	4.1 [987]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (GSW): +9.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	3.1 [149]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -13.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	0.01	0.09	8	86%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	73%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.07	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.04	15	60%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.02	22	54%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	16	44%	-0.00	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	12	57%	0.08	4	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	18	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	18	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	11	37%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.6	28.7	18.0	33.2	2.4	30.6	146.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.2%

LAC -5.9%

LAC -2.5%

GSW +16.3%

LAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	15.3	122.2	103.0	106.0
season	13.4	15.5		106.5	101.9
opponent	15.2	14.8		108.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	12.0	12.9	18.1	14.1
LAC	12.4	16.8	14.8	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	75	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.13	27	-9	36	14.3	13.6	0.67	14.9	14.4	0.52
Anthony Tolliver	63	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-5	28	14.6	13.4	1.21	15.6	13.3	2.31
Stephen Curry	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.03	17	1	16	14.1	14.1	0.09	15.4	12.4	3.01
Reggie Williams	85	87	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	4	10	14.0	14.8	-0.76	15.0	13.8	1.11
Chris Hunter	45	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.03	12	6	6	13.2	14.9	-1.67	13.5	15.8	-2.36
Ronny Turiaf	54	57	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	12	-6	14.9	13.2	1.67	15.8	13.5	2.36
Anthony Morrow	39	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	17	-16	13.8	14.3	-0.56	12.9	16.0	-3.05
Corey Maggette	53	53	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.19	-10	28	-38	13.8	14.5	-0.77	13.9	15.9	-1.96

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	43	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-23	28	15.0	14.7	0.25	13.5	14.6	-1.14
Steve Novak	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-17	16	15.3	14.8	0.58	15.1	14.0	1.08
Steve Blake	27	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-9	0	14.9	14.8	0.16	17.9	12.9	4.94
Drew Gooden	76	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-13	8	13.7	18.3	-4.58	14.2	13.8	0.45
Baron Davis	79	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-14	10	14.6	15.5	-0.90	14.2	13.7	0.54
Eric Gordon	84	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-10	2	13.9	19.6	-5.66	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Bobby Brown	9	10	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-6	-6	18.1	14.5	3.63	12.1	14.4	-2.26
Travis Outlaw	18	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	-5	-8	14.5	14.9	-0.38	13.2	14.3	-1.14
Craig Smith	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	-5	-8	18.3	13.7	4.58	13.8	14.2	-0.45
DeAndre Jordan	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-4	-10	15.3	14.4	0.89	13.7	14.6	-0.95
Rasual Butler	82	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	-2	-14	15.2	13.1	2.07	14.0	14.8	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DAL 105, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 117, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%