NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	3.0 [1136]		MVP	Eric Williams (BOS): +7.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	72		Comeback	2.3 [213]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -16.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	16	68%	0.07	5	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Herren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.01	-0.05	22	41%	-0.02	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	27%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.23	-0.01	-0.08	17	33%	-0.07	7	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.1	15.4	26.6	2.3	26.4	122.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.6%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +1.7%

BOS +10.8%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.5	98.9	81.8	100.9
season	15.1	15.3		99.7	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	14.9	16.8	19.3	16.5
CLE	14.2	19.4	18.4	13.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	63	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-2	19	16.5	16.4	0.10	16.5	15.6	0.95
Tony Battie	41	41	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	-2	19	15.6	17.3	-1.64	17.2	15.4	1.79
Antoine Walker	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	1	13	16.6	16.0	0.57	16.2	16.7	-0.50
Eric Williams	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	2	11	16.2	17.0	-0.83	17.2	14.8	2.40
Paul Pierce	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	2	11	16.1	18.3	-2.20	15.8	18.1	-2.33
Vitaly Potapenko	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	14	-13	16.9	16.1	0.81	15.5	17.1	-1.57
Bryant Stith	68	69	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	15	-15	17.0	14.7	2.28	15.6	18.3	-2.68
Chris Herren	8	9	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	13	-11	17.5	16.4	1.09	16.4	16.2	0.25
Walter McCarty	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	17	-19	18.8	16.3	2.49	16.0	16.2	-0.23

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-21	27	13.7	17.3	-3.58	18.3	15.7	2.52
Cedric Henderson	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-16	17	13.7	16.9	-3.19	18.6	15.9	2.77
Michael Hawkins	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-14	13	15.3	16.3	-0.98	18.0	16.3	1.68
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-7	-1	16.9	15.4	1.50	15.7	17.4	-1.71
Matt Harpring	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-6	-3	16.8	15.8	1.01	14.3	18.2	-3.91
Lamond Murray	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-9	3	16.4	15.9	0.53	16.2	17.1	-0.83
Robert Traylor	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-8	1	16.2	16.2	-0.01	18.2	15.7	2.55
Clar. Weatherspoon	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	16.5	15.7	0.73	15.3	18.6	-3.27
Trajan Langdon	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-10	5	14.9	17.4	-2.50	17.6	15.6	1.97
Wesley Person	22	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-4	-7	18.8	15.3	3.47	18.1	16.0	2.08
Chris Gatling	15	15	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-2	-11	18.4	15.8	2.63	15.9	16.6	-0.78
Andre Miller	79	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-1	-13	16.3	15.3	0.98	16.3	18.0	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 120, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DET 121, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
GSW 112, DAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%