inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 112 Excitement3.4 [1136] MVPKlay Thompson (GSW): +15.8%
Dallas Mavericks 87 Comeback1.7 [854] LVPHarrison Barnes (DAL): -10.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0.160,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.01-0.011577%0.192-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Curry0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.00-0.011461%0.1000.0000%0.00
Patrick McCaw0.080,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00771%0.0800.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.01-0.071653%0.083-0.012100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.003100%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Shaun Livingston0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02475%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Draymond Green0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03650%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Kevon Looney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Michael McAdoo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06190%0.0010.00887%0.00
JaVale McGee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00440%-0.0100.0020%-0.01
Matt Barnes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00475%0.023-0.0300%0.00
David West-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00375%0.023-0.052100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.00-0.03778%0.102-0.014100%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.011355%0.0800.003100%0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.01667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Seth Curry0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.05-0.00-0.081240%0.032-0.001100%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03558%0.0000.00250%0.00
Manny Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nicolas Brussino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.0540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00850%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03721%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.010.051060%0.013-0.0600%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.020.001023%-0.1100.00250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.329.315.525.81.829.2126.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +50.7%
DAL -3.1%
GSW +6.0%
DAL -3.3%
DAL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game13.416.914.8116.792.6107.7
season13.516.2114.9104.4
opponent14.715.1107.2103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.911.613.615.713.4
DAL16.518.417.715.016.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green58570.54-0.040.58-0.082141712.514.9-2.4417.416.21.18
Klay Thompson64620.350.150.20-0.15178913.613.10.5817.715.42.27
Stephen Curry60600.350.150.19-0.061411313.014.2-1.1916.916.90.03
Shaun Livingston39370.310.190.12-0.312141713.313.6-0.2817.616.41.18
Ian Clark58550.280.220.06-0.22178913.912.71.2616.317.8-1.48
Patrick McCaw61600.230.27-0.050.05619-1313.114.0-0.8216.517.6-1.16
David West30290.210.29-0.07-0.111114-315.012.72.3116.417.1-0.66
Matt Barnes44430.130.37-0.24-0.11817-914.512.61.9016.717.1-0.34
Zaza Pachulia28290.130.37-0.25-0.02520-1512.713.7-1.0418.316.32.03
Kevon Looney990.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2110.213.8-3.5615.117.1-1.98
James Michael McAdoo11110.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2112.513.6-1.1215.517.1-1.54
JaVale McGee1818-0.020.52-0.54-0.05124-2315.313.02.3215.217.3-2.15

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manny Harris990.00-0.500.500.06-2-232115.117.1-1.9810.213.8-3.56
Nicolas Brussino11110.00-0.500.500.06-2-232115.517.1-1.5412.513.6-1.12
Dwight Powell1515-0.00-0.500.490.17-6-191316.617.0-0.3613.313.5-0.14
Nerlens Noel3536-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-232114.718.2-3.5314.712.71.95
J.J. Barea3735-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-232115.218.0-2.8313.613.30.28
Dorian Finney-Smith2932-0.15-0.350.210.26-14-11-317.716.51.1913.213.6-0.39
Devin Harris3029-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-15518.116.41.7112.613.8-1.28
Salah Mejri1717-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-14318.416.61.7710.614.1-3.40
Seth Curry5356-0.32-0.18-0.130.06-13-12-116.517.4-0.8614.112.51.58
Harrison Barnes6768-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-14316.617.7-1.1713.712.80.88
Wesley Matthews6565-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-14316.517.7-1.1913.613.10.47
Dirk Nowitzki5455-0.43-0.07-0.370.15-20-5-1518.414.93.4913.213.8-0.58
Yogi Ferrell4852-0.45-0.05-0.400.17-21-4-1718.615.23.3913.912.90.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 103, CHI 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
HOU 120, PHI 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
BOS 107, PHI 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%