NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	82		Excitement	4.4 [920]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +14.7%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.1 [1157]		LVP	Earl Boykins (WAS): -10.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Singleton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	61%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	17	55%	0.07	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Randy Foye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	0.01	0.08	20	72%	0.15	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	11	44%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	29.0	14.8	26.3	2.7	28.3	131.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.4%

IND +9.9%

WAS -14.0%

IND +7.9%

IND +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	13.4	15.3	83.7	102.1	106.0
season	15.7	14.2		102.6	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	18.5	14.6	14.0	16.1
IND	11.4	13.4	11.5	17.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	47	46	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-19	21	15.1	17.0	-1.89	15.9	11.2	4.76
Earl Boykins	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-22	27	13.9	17.6	-3.69	13.5	13.4	0.15
Quinton Ross	28	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-14	11	13.3	17.2	-3.93	15.0	12.8	2.19
Randy Foye	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-10	3	17.5	15.3	2.21	14.3	12.9	1.38
Al Thornton	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	18.8	13.9	4.87	12.8	13.9	-1.15
Alonzo Gee	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-15	13	13.0	17.5	-4.52	14.4	13.0	1.35
James Singleton	72	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-16	15	15.9	16.6	-0.66	13.5	13.2	0.29
JaVale McGee	24	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-3	-11	19.1	15.1	4.02	11.8	14.0	-2.13
Shaun Livingston	24	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-2	-13	17.6	15.6	2.03	12.0	13.9	-1.90
Andray Blatche	81	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	1	-19	16.1	16.2	-0.10	12.7	16.6	-3.90
Mike Miller	65	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.12	-23	6	-29	16.8	14.8	2.01	12.3	15.8	-3.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	83	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-2	21	13.8	11.4	2.43	16.1	15.9	0.19
Josh McRoberts	57	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	0	17	13.1	13.9	-0.79	18.6	12.4	6.24
Earl Watson	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-1	19	13.7	13.0	0.67	16.6	15.2	1.40
Troy Murphy	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	2	13	13.1	14.3	-1.25	15.8	16.9	-1.14
Danny Granger	72	73	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	8	1	14.6	10.2	4.41	16.6	14.7	1.84
Dahntay Jones	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	11	-5	13.0	13.8	-0.79	14.6	17.3	-2.68
A.J. Price	46	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	15	-13	14.2	12.7	1.49	14.9	17.2	-2.26
Solomon Jones	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	17	-17	11.2	14.2	-2.90	12.7	17.2	-4.43
Mike Dunleavy	27	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	18	-19	11.7	14.1	-2.40	16.4	16.0	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 71, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
POR 77, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%