NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	5.9 [618]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +28.2%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	2.9 [612]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -14.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	21	57%	0.13	4	-0.11	11	55%	-0.02
Hamed Haddadi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	17	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.23	0.07	0.01	14	103%	0.42	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	90%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	21	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	1	83%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.8	29.2	15.4	29.2	1.8	30.7	137.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +64.9%

HOU +1.9%

MEM -5.3%

MEM -9.0%

MEM -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.3	94.9	110.3	106.0
season	15.4	15.0		106.8	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.9	16.0	13.2	15.7	14.7
HOU	12.7	14.0	16.2	16.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-14	15	14.8	14.6	0.17	11.4	15.4	-4.01
Ronnie Brewer	51	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-17	21	15.4	13.9	1.42	13.3	16.3	-3.02
Hamed Haddadi	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-9	5	15.6	14.5	1.14	13.6	14.9	-1.26
Darrell Arthur	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	15.6	14.1	1.52	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Mike Conley	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-9	5	14.3	15.1	-0.79	16.4	12.3	4.12
Marcus Williams	42	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-4	-5	15.1	14.3	0.79	12.3	16.4	-4.12
Hasheem Thabeet	58	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	14.0	15.6	-1.65	15.0	14.3	0.73
O.J. Mayo	69	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	13.6	17.1	-3.54	15.4	13.3	2.06
Rudy Gay	74	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	4	-21	15.3	12.9	2.39	15.4	12.6	2.84
Zach Randolph	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	0	-13	14.4	15.5	-1.01	15.3	12.5	2.87

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	83	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-3	19	15.2	11.8	3.43	14.4	16.4	-2.05
Kevin Martin	77	80	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	2	9	15.4	12.0	3.37	14.5	15.5	-1.06
Aaron Brooks	71	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	2	9	15.7	12.2	3.51	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Charles Hayes	55	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	0	13	15.3	13.9	1.40	13.7	16.1	-2.41
Shane Battier	52	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	5	3	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.3	14.0	1.36
Trevor Ariza	46	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	10	-7	13.8	15.5	-1.74	13.8	15.6	-1.75
Jordan Hill	42	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	13	-13	13.9	15.3	-1.40	16.1	13.7	2.41
Kyle Lowry	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	11	-9	12.2	15.7	-3.51	15.9	14.2	1.70
Chase Budinger	20	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.07	2	11	-9	12.0	15.4	-3.37	15.5	14.5	1.06
David Andersen	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	14	-15	12.5	15.1	-2.52	17.3	14.3	3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CHI 86, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.7%
NYK 100, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%