NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	107		Excitement	9.0 [115]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +48.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	3.3 [689]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (TOR): -32.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.28	0.07	0.21	-0.00	18	52%	0.28	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jarrett Jack	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	8	75%	0.23	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Andrea Bargnani	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	17	55%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.12	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	11	38%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.32	-0.08	-0.24	0.00	7	43%	-0.07	4	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.49	0.49	0.09	0.40	0.01	20	63%	0.59	4	-0.11	11	91%	0.10
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	12	69%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.11	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	29.4	17.4	31.9	0.3	40.4	147.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +8.0%

LAL +17.4%

LAL +4.0%

LAL +25.2%

TOR -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.3	112.6	116.0	106.0
season	15.0	15.7		109.6	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	14.5	16.9	14.7	14.9
LAL	15.2	15.5	16.6	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	18	19	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.05	11	-13	24	13.1	15.3	-2.24	17.0	15.3	1.75
Amir Johnson	43	43	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-7	12	13.2	16.3	-3.13	17.5	14.0	3.43
DeMar DeRozan	41	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	0	-2	15.3	14.5	0.82	15.3	15.9	-0.58
Reggie Evans	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	13.4	15.1	-1.73	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Jose Calderon	50	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	0	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.34	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Sonny Weems	33	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	1	-4	14.8	14.9	-0.09	16.8	15.0	1.79
Jarrett Jack	58	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-4	6	15.7	13.6	2.01	15.2	16.3	-1.13
Hedo Turkoglu	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-2	2	15.0	14.6	0.48	14.6	17.4	-2.74
Chris Bosh	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	5	-12	15.9	13.0	2.92	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Andrea Bargnani	72	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.56	-1	-1	0	15.3	13.6	1.73	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Antoine Wright	25	23	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.31	-12	10	-22	14.5	15.0	-0.48	17.9	14.9	3.05

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	74	73	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	15.2	17.1	-1.90	15.8	11.9	3.86
Derek Fisher	61	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	-1	4	14.9	16.9	-1.96	15.4	14.0	1.43
Kobe Bryant	72	71	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	-1	4	15.4	16.3	-0.87	15.5	13.1	2.34
Andrew Bynum	61	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-8	18	16.1	14.8	1.31	15.9	13.2	2.71
Lamar Odom	60	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	6	-10	16.1	14.7	1.41	13.6	17.2	-3.63
Pau Gasol	60	64	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	2	-2	14.4	17.8	-3.38	15.1	14.5	0.63
Sasha Vujacic	6	7	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	-1	4	13.5	15.7	-2.25	9.6	15.3	-5.72
Jordan Farmar	28	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.12	1	1	0	16.7	15.1	1.58	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Shannon Brown	35	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.15	-1	3	-4	17.3	14.6	2.63	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Josh Powell	13	12	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	13	-24	17.5	15.3	2.24	13.2	15.1	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 87, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.74,1	92.9%
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	92.8%
ATL 100, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	92.6%