NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	8.1 [211]		MVP	Al Harrington (NYK): +26.0%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.4 [347]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -42.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.04	17	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	16	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	11%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.23,-0.42	-0.02	-0.39	0.02	22	49%	-0.34	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.18	-0.00	10	64%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.03	-0.00	14	79%	0.30	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	15	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.14	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	6	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.18	-0.01	7	43%	-0.11	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	29.6	15.7	26.2	2.3	34.0	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +89.4%

ATL -11.1%

NYK +2.6%

ATL -33.5%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.3	103.2	104.2	106.0
season	16.0	14.7		109.4	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	14.8	14.7	15.4	15.5
NYK	14.8	14.0	13.6	17.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-2	3	14.7	15.6	-0.83	15.2	14.8	0.47
Zaza Pachulia	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-1	1	15.0	15.6	-0.67	14.3	15.0	-0.62
Mike Bibby	42	42	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-3	5	15.9	15.2	0.69	15.2	14.6	0.58
Maurice Evans	30	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	0	-1	15.7	15.4	0.33	13.9	15.3	-1.39
Jamal Crawford	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-2	3	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.0	14.5	0.59
Josh Smith	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-1	1	15.4	15.8	-0.36	14.9	14.3	0.61
Joe Johnson	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	0	-1	15.3	16.5	-1.20	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Al Horford	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	0	-1	15.8	14.5	1.33	14.9	14.8	0.10
Marvin Williams	69	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	5	-11	15.5	15.5	0.02	15.1	14.3	0.76

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	85	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	-1	3	14.9	14.2	0.72	15.6	14.7	0.86
David Lee	66	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	-2	5	14.4	15.8	-1.37	15.9	14.6	1.28
Wilson Chandler	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	-1	3	14.6	16.2	-1.61	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Al Harrington	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	5	-9	15.5	13.7	1.85	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Toney Douglas	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.42	-5	6	-11	15.8	14.0	1.82	15.6	15.4	0.24
Sergio Rodriguez	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-6	13	13.8	15.9	-2.05	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Henry Walker	51	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	-1	3	14.5	15.2	-0.63	15.1	15.9	-0.75
Eddie House	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	3	-5	15.3	14.5	0.75	15.3	15.6	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.81,0.71,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.55,0.58,1	93.0%
POR 75, SAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.84,1	92.6%
OKC 97, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	92.4%