NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	75		Excitement	7.0 [389]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +19.5%
Sacramento Kings	79		Comeback	1.7 [442]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -16.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.21,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	21	47%	-0.03	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.13
Steven Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	9	22%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	12	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14	0.03	-0.16	0.01	9	72%	0.10	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	14	29%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.2	0.20	-0.00	0.19	-0.01	14	53%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	12	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	4	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.10	0.02	21	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.06	-0.07	11	9%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	26.5	17.4	23.1	1.8	33.3	124.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +15.2%

SAC +16.0%

POR -11.1%

SAC +27.5%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	16.3	15.5	85.2	88.8	100.9
season	15.8	14.4		103.9	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	16.6	16.5	15.8	16.3
SAC	13.9	15.4	17.8	18.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-4	4	16.5	16.2	0.27	16.2	16.3	-0.16
Stacey Augmon	22	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-3	2	16.6	16.2	0.48	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Bonzi Wells	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-7	10	15.2	16.8	-1.62	19.5	14.6	4.93
Shawn Kemp	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-5	6	15.9	16.4	-0.51	17.7	15.5	2.21
Rasheed Wallace	75	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	16.3	16.4	-0.13	16.0	17.9	-1.90
Steven Smith	57	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	3	-10	16.8	15.2	1.62	14.6	19.5	-4.93
Scottie Pippen	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	16.2	16.6	-0.48	16.6	15.4	1.18
Dale Davis	71	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	6	-16	16.4	15.6	0.85	15.9	17.6	-1.66
Damon Stoudamire	62	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	0	-4	16.2	16.5	-0.27	16.3	16.2	0.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	81	80	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	15.9	20.0	-4.10	16.8	10.6	6.21
Vlade Divac	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-3	10	15.3	18.9	-3.57	16.6	15.3	1.33
Bobby Jackson	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	2	0	16.5	15.7	0.76	16.1	16.8	-0.74
Doug Christie	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-8	20	15.7	17.9	-2.22	16.6	15.3	1.30
Peja Stojakovic	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	7	-10	17.1	11.9	5.22	15.9	18.1	-2.16
Jon Barry	48	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	10	-16	16.8	15.7	1.09	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Nick Anderson	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	-3	10	11.9	17.1	-5.22	18.1	15.9	2.16
Scot Pollard	18	17	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	7	-10	19.4	15.5	3.91	14.0	16.8	-2.82
Lawrence Funderburke	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	18.9	15.8	3.07	14.1	16.7	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.98,1	93.2%
MIN 100, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.95,1	92.8%
ATL 98, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.81,0.71,0.55,0.73,1	92.6%