NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	5.1 [785]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): +12.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	1.3 [663]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -24.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	18	68%	0.23	4	-0.10	8	50%	-0.04
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	18	64%	0.07	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	5	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.18	-0.06	0.00	17	21%	-0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	13	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	14	68%	0.11	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	8	32%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.03	-0.05	17	34%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	28.2	15.5	27.4	2.5	27.6	125.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.5%

MIL +5.7%

MIL +7.9%

MIL +4.6%

MIL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.3	90.4	96.8	106.0
season	16.1	15.5		109.5	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.0		101.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	14.4	17.0	15.4	15.9
MIL	13.9	16.2	12.5	15.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	30	31	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-18	29	14.1	16.8	-2.70	16.5	13.6	2.88
Danny Green	30	32	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.31	15	-22	37	14.0	16.8	-2.80	16.7	13.5	3.27
Anderson Varejao	51	52	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-18	29	14.3	17.8	-3.43	15.0	14.1	0.93
Delonte West	61	62	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.24	9	-16	25	15.1	17.5	-2.39	15.4	13.1	2.33
Antawn Jamison	79	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-6	5	15.9	15.8	0.12	14.1	17.1	-2.92
JJ Hickson	38	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	2	-11	17.8	14.6	3.21	15.6	14.0	1.57
Darnell Jackson	12	12	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	3	-13	15.0	16.0	-1.04	10.6	15.2	-4.57
Anthony Parker	56	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.16	-14	7	-21	16.5	15.1	1.39	13.4	16.2	-2.80
Mo Williams	67	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	11	-29	16.9	13.4	3.56	13.7	16.7	-2.98
Jawad Williams	46	46	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	0.10	-29	22	-51	17.7	14.2	3.42	13.9	15.2	-1.29

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	65	66	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.05	21	-14	35	13.3	17.3	-3.93	16.5	14.4	2.10
Luc Mbah a Moute	83	82	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-5	17	14.3	16.6	-2.29	16.5	12.0	4.48
Brandon Jennings	70	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	13.7	17.0	-3.29	16.5	14.2	2.32
Andrew Bogut	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	13.9	16.6	-2.69	16.3	14.7	1.54
Carlos Delfino	85	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	14.7	13.8	0.87	15.8	16.4	-0.52
Ersan Ilyasova	27	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	7	-7	16.6	13.8	2.86	14.1	16.6	-2.43
Jerry Stackhouse	40	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	18	-29	16.4	13.3	3.15	15.0	16.6	-1.59
Luke Ridnour	25	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	15	-23	17.0	13.7	3.29	14.2	16.5	-2.32
Kurt Thomas	10	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	14	-21	16.4	14.4	2.04	13.0	16.2	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.8%
SAC 88, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 105, HOU 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%