NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	6.4 [500]		MVP	Sonny Weems (TOR): +17.0%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	1.3 [1089]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -12.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	15	64%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Eddie House	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	11%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	11	46%	0.07	6	-0.19	6	50%	-0.04
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	12	42%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.00	16	59%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	13	62%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	11	64%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	0.01	15	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	32.2	18.5	24.4	2.7	29.2	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +33.8%

NYK -14.7%

TOR +5.7%

TOR +24.4%

TOR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	16.3	15.3	101.1	109.7	106.0
season	14.7	15.0		105.9	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	13.2	14.9	13.3	14.4
TOR	13.8	16.3	15.8	19.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-6	6	13.6	15.4	-1.76	15.0	18.0	-3.00
Sergio Rodriguez	38	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	1	-8	13.1	15.3	-2.16	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Tracy McGrady	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-9	12	14.9	13.5	1.45	16.6	15.6	1.02
Eddie House	38	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	0	-6	12.9	15.4	-2.42	15.9	16.5	-0.65
Al Harrington	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-8	10	15.0	13.3	1.72	17.0	14.9	2.09
Danilo Gallinari	71	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	15.3	11.8	3.49	17.0	14.1	2.83
Wilson Chandler	77	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	1	-8	14.1	15.8	-1.70	16.6	14.9	1.67
David Lee	76	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	7	-20	14.9	12.4	2.54	15.7	18.5	-2.85

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	56	55	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.22	14	-8	22	16.5	15.9	0.52	13.7	15.4	-1.77
Andrea Bargnani	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	16.5	15.3	1.16	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Amir Johnson	59	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-6	18	15.7	17.2	-1.45	15.4	12.6	2.87
Antoine Wright	63	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	0	6	16.3	16.1	0.23	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Sonny Weems	55	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.32	4	2	2	17.0	15.2	1.73	13.1	16.3	-3.15
Jarrett Jack	52	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	11	-16	16.7	15.7	0.98	15.7	12.8	2.90
DeMar DeRozan	47	50	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	4	-2	14.7	17.8	-3.15	15.9	12.8	3.12
Rasho Nesterovic	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	0.0	16.3	-16.26	2.0	14.5	-12.53
Reggie Evans	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	15.8	16.3	-0.50	12.0	14.7	-2.71
Hedo Turkoglu	49	49	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	16	-26	16.5	16.0	0.58	14.3	14.5	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.69,0.89,0.86,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
MIL 81, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.4%
LAC 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.92,1	93.3%