NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	5.9 [607]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +21.1%
Phoenix Suns	125		Comeback	1.2 [1152]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -7.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.01	13	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	67%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	56%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.03	0.08	14	74%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.11	0.03	8	94%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.03	0.02	16	75%	0.27	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.03	10	78%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	7	42%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.08
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	31.7	14.8	27.1	2.4	26.4	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.4%

PHX +9.9%

PHX +5.5%

LAC -6.3%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	14.8	15.3	119.1	133.0	106.0
season	15.5	14.4		101.9	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.0	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	14.8	15.0	18.9	15.9
PHX	12.8	15.9	13.2	18.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	39	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-21	29	15.8	15.9	-0.04	17.0	12.9	4.08
DeAndre Jordan	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-14	15	14.8	16.4	-1.61	12.7	15.9	-3.20
Steve Blake	49	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-9	5	16.4	15.3	1.12	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Craig Smith	39	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-6	-1	16.9	15.2	1.71	14.4	15.0	-0.55
Drew Gooden	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	16.3	15.3	0.94	15.4	14.0	1.40
Chris Kaman	39	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	1	-15	15.6	16.1	-0.48	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Rasual Butler	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-1	-11	16.1	14.8	1.30	14.9	14.1	0.89
Eric Gordon	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	15.1	18.5	-3.49	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Baron Davis	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	5	-23	15.8	16.0	-0.16	15.0	14.1	0.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	60	60	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-5	23	13.5	17.1	-3.59	15.3	16.9	-1.67
Amar'e Stoudemire	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-3	19	13.6	17.4	-3.78	15.5	16.6	-1.02
Jason Richardson	62	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-2	17	13.9	16.4	-2.49	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Robin Lopez	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	15.3	13.1	2.13	16.4	14.2	2.19
Jared Dudley	50	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	2	9	15.1	14.4	0.76	17.2	14.4	2.75
Channing Frye	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	10	-7	15.7	14.0	1.67	16.5	15.4	1.13
Grant Hill	73	73	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	14	-15	15.6	12.0	3.56	15.4	17.5	-2.13
Goran Dragic	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	17	-21	16.2	13.8	2.44	16.6	15.4	1.23
Taylor Griffin	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	5.0	14.9	-9.87	10.0	15.9	-5.94
Lou Amundson	9	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	19	-25	16.0	14.6	1.36	12.5	16.3	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, CHH 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.0%
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ORL 74, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%