inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 104 Excitement7.6 [275] MVPJarrett Jack (TOR): +16.5%
Toronto Raptors 109 Comeback18.7 [107] LVPJosh Howard (WAS): -17.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JaVale McGee0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.00667%0.0800.00367%-0.01
Quinton Ross0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.00-0.01383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.00760%0.0500.001100%0.01
Al Thornton0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01950%0.0300.0020%-0.03
Andray Blatche0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.010.06-0.050.002153%0.041-0.03367%-0.01
Fabricio Oberto-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
James Singleton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01560%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Nick Young-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mike Miller-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.01487%0.068-0.2000%0.00
Randy Foye-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.00-0.140.031352%-0.112-0.061100%0.01
Josh Howard-0.170,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.03-0.110.031740%-0.1700.00875%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.170.170.150.050.03988%0.253-0.088100%0.07
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.050.021079%0.181-0.02450%-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.120.120.030.10-0.001453%0.212-0.092100%0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01771%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.030.00267%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.030.021356%0.0200.00683%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001045%0.001-0.042100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.01250%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00350%0.003-0.092100%0.01
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.01325%-0.0900.00650%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.82.533.218.428.11.842.3156.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +43.3%
TOR +23.6%
WAS -15.6%
TOR +1.2%
WAS -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game17.115.415.3116.9123.9106.0
season15.715.0102.6109.6
opponent15.515.3111.5107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS19.316.215.417.917.1
TOR15.014.416.615.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JaVale McGee42420.26-0.761.020.028-132117.217.10.1516.214.71.52
Mike Miller58590.15-0.650.81-0.057-121915.719.9-4.2515.515.20.34
Fabricio Oberto14140.11-0.610.730.14-1-4322.416.16.2816.615.21.48
James Singleton32320.02-0.520.550.23-72-918.916.22.7214.915.7-0.72
Nick Young76-0.13-0.370.240.05-61-723.116.66.5210.215.8-5.61
Quinton Ross2218-0.14-0.360.220.00-50-514.817.9-3.1415.315.4-0.08
Josh Howard6061-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.443-81116.917.7-0.7715.914.41.48
Randy Foye5653-0.510.01-0.53-0.34-61-717.316.80.5015.615.10.47
Earl Boykins3739-0.610.11-0.73-0.50-4-1-317.516.90.6015.015.7-0.67
Al Thornton5452-0.630.13-0.76-0.33-105-1517.316.90.3615.215.6-0.41
Andray Blatche6364-0.670.17-0.84-0.55-4-1-316.319.2-2.9115.016.4-1.40

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Wright57570.79-0.291.080.3515-102514.916.3-1.4317.616.21.38
Jarrett Jack59590.74-0.240.980.537-2915.215.9-0.6917.117.3-0.20
Jose Calderon41430.58-0.080.660.2013-82114.416.2-1.8016.617.7-1.07
Andrea Bargnani71710.57-0.070.630.4250515.514.90.6417.615.22.40
Hedo Turkoglu68680.430.070.350.3723-115.614.70.9017.117.3-0.20
Sonny Weems22230.160.34-0.180.0732114.915.6-0.6516.517.4-0.89
Rasho Nesterovic3634-0.090.59-0.670.06-510-1516.015.01.0217.017.2-0.22
Reggie Evans2426-0.210.71-0.92-0.15-27-916.015.20.7717.916.81.11
Amir Johnson3133-0.230.73-0.95-0.14-38-1115.415.4-0.0716.617.5-0.89
DeMar DeRozan3131-0.230.73-0.970.06-1015-2516.514.81.7816.717.4-0.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.9,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 114, ATL 1170.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.45,0.91,190.8%
MEM 86, LAC 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.96,190.1%
NYK 109, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,189.7%