inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 100 Excitement10.9 [30] MVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): +26.4%
Memphis Grizzlies 87 Comeback6.8 [121] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -46.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.140.050.090.00762%0.1400.002100%0.03
Jermaine O'Neal0.120,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12-0.030.13-0.021650%0.194-0.074100%0.04
Michael Beasley0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.030.002554%0.173-0.13667%-0.03
Mario Chalmers0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.01-0.001269%0.224-0.182100%0.01
Joel Anthony0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Dorell Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
James Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.0010%-0.041-0.0320%-0.04
Quentin Richardson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.08-0.00844%-0.0800.0020%-0.04
Daequan Cook-0.150,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.04-0.00721%-0.063-0.0900%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.260,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26-0.04-0.210.011140%-0.181-0.083100%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.26-0.020.28-0.011650%0.333-0.07250%-0.01
DeMarre Carroll00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0-0.000.11-0.070.051371%0.202-0.20580%-0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03525%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.00333%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00945%0.145-0.25475%0.04
Zach Randolph0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.26,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.022039%0.065-0.211100%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34,-0.43,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46-0.46-0.11-0.350.001937%-0.313-0.152100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.02.627.416.729.33.333.42.617.72.514.4175.0
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.82.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +0.9%
MEM -1.4%
MIA +36.4%
MIA +15.8%
MEM -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMEMNBAMIAMEMNBA
this game17.015.115.390.981.3106.0
season16.215.4104.4106.8
opponent15.015.4108.4102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.417.916.919.514.317.0
MEM12.918.115.014.115.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers76760.55-0.050.610.0318-52316.917.2-0.3515.813.32.53
Udonis Haslem48450.54-0.040.580.1314-11516.417.4-1.0114.715.4-0.64
Michael Beasley76750.430.070.350.0214-11516.917.2-0.3514.815.8-1.04
Quentin Richardson80750.340.160.190.05103716.917.0-0.0515.414.40.92
Carlos Arroyo82800.290.210.070.0876117.116.50.6214.716.2-1.47
Dorell Wright30320.160.34-0.190.07310-717.016.90.0514.415.4-0.92
James Jones11100.130.37-0.24-0.0158-316.117.1-0.9719.714.65.09
Jamaal Magloire11100.130.37-0.250.07211-916.517.0-0.5717.014.92.11
Daequan Cook51480.030.47-0.450.14-417-2117.116.90.1813.616.3-2.72
Jermaine O'Neal6263-0.010.52-0.530.10-417-2117.815.91.9316.413.23.23
Joel Anthony2321-0.080.58-0.66-0.08013-1316.517.1-0.6112.115.8-3.72

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph81850.27-0.771.03-0.0310-233315.812.83.0616.917.2-0.36
Hasheem Thabeet13140.07-0.570.63-0.085-182312.815.4-2.5519.116.62.50
Ronnie Brewer24230.02-0.520.54-0.011-141513.815.4-1.6117.316.90.49
Marcus Williams2626-0.04-0.460.410.13-6-7112.515.9-3.4616.317.2-0.86
DeMarre Carroll11-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-9517.015.11.938.017.0-9.05
Sam Young76-0.19-0.310.120.05-8-5-313.315.2-1.9212.217.2-5.07
Darrell Arthur1413-0.19-0.310.120.10-10-3-716.314.91.3816.517.0-0.57
O.J. Mayo9095-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-7115.612.33.3217.116.01.12
Mike Conley8184-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.25-7-6-115.912.53.4617.216.30.86
Rudy Gay9496-0.540.04-0.58-0.16-130-1314.916.2-1.3117.016.60.45
Marc Gasol9396-0.560.06-0.63-0.15-141-1515.115.1-0.0717.016.60.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.22,0.31,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.33,0.28,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.03,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 81, BOS 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,185.8%
BOS 89, WAS 860.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.55,0.32,0.26,085.8%
ATL 109, OKC 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,185.8%