NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	7.0 [398]		MVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): +43.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	4.3 [205]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -9.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.36	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.36	0.18	0.19	0.01	18	75%	0.38	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	11	56%	0.15	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.05
Marcus Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	14	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	18	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.10	-0.01	11	64%	0.07	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.24	0.20	-0.00	14	87%	0.44	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.06	0.24	-0.00	17	61%	0.38	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	12	66%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.07
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.10	0.02	7	60%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	17	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.8	28.6	16.4	28.2	2.6	35.4	137.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +49.8%

MEM -12.5%

MEM -8.5%

MIN +25.8%

MEM -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	17.3	14.3	15.3	113.3	118.5	106.0
season	15.4	14.7		106.8	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	20.0	18.2	17.0	17.3
MIN	14.1	13.7	13.9	15.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	14	15	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-6	5	19.1	17.0	2.13	13.1	14.6	-1.52
Sam Young	28	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-5	3	21.2	15.6	5.62	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Marcus Williams	28	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-5	3	21.2	15.6	5.62	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Hasheem Thabeet	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	-4	1	24.0	16.8	7.22	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Steven Hunter	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-5	3	19.4	17.1	2.33	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Marc Gasol	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-5	3	16.3	25.2	-8.93	14.9	10.7	4.22
Zach Randolph	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	17.5	16.0	1.46	14.1	17.1	-3.05
Rudy Gay	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-3	-1	16.8	19.7	-2.91	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Mike Conley	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.38	-5	-2	-3	15.6	21.2	-5.62	14.7	13.7	1.00
O.J. Mayo	67	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	2	-11	16.1	20.9	-4.79	14.7	13.2	1.58

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	51	50	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.23	19	-12	31	14.3	14.4	-0.14	19.0	15.2	3.77
Kevin Love	47	47	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-2	11	15.0	13.7	1.31	17.8	16.9	0.93
Al Jefferson	74	72	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.15	18	-11	29	14.1	15.4	-1.38	17.9	15.0	2.93
Corey Brewer	68	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-2	11	14.4	14.2	0.17	16.6	19.8	-3.21
Ryan Gomes	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	5	-3	14.7	13.3	1.36	16.1	21.0	-4.91
Damien Wilkins	36	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	13.5	14.9	-1.42	19.3	16.2	3.13
Wayne Ellington	24	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	9	-11	14.2	14.4	-0.17	19.8	16.6	3.21
Jonny Flynn	41	40	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.07	-12	19	-31	14.4	14.3	0.14	15.2	19.0	-3.77
Ryan Hollins	51	50	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	17	-27	14.3	14.4	-0.14	16.4	18.5	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.57,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.91,1	92.4%
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	92.3%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	91.7%