inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 101 Excitement5.3 [730] MVPCarl Landry (HOU): +11.3%
Memphis Grizzlies 83 Comeback2.0 [270] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -14.6%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Landry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.050.02961%0.1100.001090%0.04
Aaron Brooks0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.010.07-0.032144%0.111-0.021100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001650%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Joey Dorsey0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01558%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Brian Cook0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine Taylor0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.002100%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.00644%-0.011-0.02450%-0.02
David Andersen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.021237%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Luis Scola-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.02775%0.075-0.122100%0.01
Shane Battier-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.020.01350%-0.023-0.0700%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01775%0.091-0.002100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.03-0.041553%0.114-0.07250%-0.02
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02162%0.0000.00650%-0.03
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lester Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.001644%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0250%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01950%-0.023-0.05475%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.0250%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.031434%-0.063-0.06475%-0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.10-0.05-0.00825%-0.082-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.832.215.725.32.430.3132.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +26.8%
HOU +13.3%
HOU +6.5%
HOU +3.5%
MEM -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMEMNBAHOUMEMNBA
this game15.015.015.3104.187.4106.0
season15.015.4106.0106.8
opponent15.015.1108.4106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.513.615.317.915.0
MEM14.215.916.713.415.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza67660.480.020.450.10135814.316.5-2.2515.713.62.07
Joey Dorsey37370.380.120.25-0.091621415.414.70.6014.515.4-0.88
Chase Budinger49490.340.160.17-0.101531215.614.31.2814.415.7-1.27
Aaron Brooks69650.330.170.170.04108214.715.7-0.9816.212.53.68
Carl Landry44430.300.200.09-0.141531216.214.02.2414.315.6-1.23
Kyle Lowry38390.280.220.05-0.161531214.815.1-0.3614.015.7-1.73
Luis Scola47470.200.30-0.100.05513-813.916.0-2.0216.113.92.19
Charles Hayes45440.130.37-0.230.10117-1615.015.0-0.0415.814.41.40
Shane Battier55540.080.42-0.35-0.04414-1015.913.82.0214.915.2-0.26
Brian Cook650.000.50-0.500.06-220-2214.215.0-0.8710.415.3-4.88
Jermaine Taylor770.000.50-0.500.03-119-2015.015.00.0212.415.2-2.80
David Andersen2119-0.010.51-0.510.02-119-2014.115.2-1.0713.115.5-2.39

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Williams88-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-192013.915.1-1.2516.214.91.38
Lester Hudson88-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-171612.615.2-2.6218.214.73.56
Steven Hunter1213-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-161413.515.2-1.7413.115.3-2.20
Jamaal Tinsley2928-0.08-0.420.350.04-4-141014.015.5-1.4215.614.70.88
Sam Young3639-0.10-0.400.29-0.04-2-161412.916.3-3.4816.913.73.25
DeMarre Carroll3029-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-151213.215.9-2.6617.114.13.08
Hasheem Thabeet2627-0.12-0.380.27-0.06-2-161413.815.5-1.6216.614.42.18
Rudy Gay6163-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-15-3-1216.013.32.6414.515.8-1.30
O.J. Mayo6668-0.37-0.13-0.240.13-17-1-1615.913.12.7613.718.0-4.26
Mike Conley5859-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-4-1016.113.32.8213.717.0-3.28
Marc Gasol7170-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-16-2-1415.513.61.9215.413.91.51
Zach Randolph7073-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-15-3-1215.414.01.4414.317.0-2.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 99, POR 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.7%
NJN 97, TOR 850.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%
BOS 92, NYK 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.02,094.1%