NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	98		Excitement	7.9 [232]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +37.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	33.4 [30]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -33.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.37	0.11	0.25	-0.01	17	65%	0.43	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.06	0.16	-0.00	5	90%	0.27	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	78%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	13	49%	-0.04	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	7	71%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	9	70%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	19	42%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.21	-0.21	0.01	-0.22	-0.00	8	67%	-0.09	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.34	-0.34	-0.17	-0.19	-0.02	8	27%	-0.23	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	29.5	15.7	23.2	2.6	41.0	139.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +55.3%

NOH +17.5%

POR -29.1%

NOH +6.6%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	POR	NBA	NOH	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	17.5	15.3	114.0	112.8	106.0
season	15.5	16.7		106.0	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.4	14.2	17.8	17.2	16.0
POR	16.6	15.8	19.1	18.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	34	34	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.76	-2	3	-5	14.9	16.8	-1.86	16.8	17.9	-1.09
Chris Paul	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.48	6	-5	11	15.8	17.5	-1.66	17.4	17.5	-0.05
Marcus Thornton	68	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-6	13	16.6	13.9	2.64	17.9	15.9	1.98
David West	66	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-7	15	16.7	14.0	2.65	17.9	15.8	2.12
Emeka Okafor	67	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-9	19	16.2	15.4	0.86	18.3	14.7	3.59
Sean Marks	5	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	11.4	16.3	-4.92	18.7	17.4	1.36
Darius Songaila	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	5	-9	13.7	16.5	-2.76	15.5	17.8	-2.33
Peja Stojakovic	47	49	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.33	6	-5	11	16.6	15.4	1.19	17.6	17.2	0.37
Julian Wright	16	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	9	-17	15.2	16.2	-0.96	13.3	18.3	-5.07
James Posey	38	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.26	-16	17	-33	16.1	16.0	0.13	17.1	17.7	-0.64

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	21	21	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-9	17	16.0	17.9	-1.86	16.0	16.0	-0.05
Dante Cunningham	13	15	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-8	15	15.4	17.8	-2.44	16.5	15.9	0.52
Jerryd Bayless	24	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-12	23	17.2	17.6	-0.40	16.2	16.0	0.23
Rudy Fernandez	53	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-12	23	16.9	18.3	-1.33	15.1	17.3	-2.21
Juwan Howard	61	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.45	13	-14	27	17.0	18.5	-1.45	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Jeff Ayres	32	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.16	-12	11	-23	18.7	16.7	2.02	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Andre Miller	65	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	4	-9	17.7	16.6	1.17	16.1	15.9	0.17
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	9	-19	17.6	16.8	0.79	16.5	14.6	1.88
Steve Blake	36	38	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.41	-13	12	-25	18.2	16.9	1.27	16.7	15.5	1.21
Martell Webster	59	59	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.42	-15	14	-29	17.8	16.8	0.98	16.3	15.5	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.57,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.45,0.58,0	91.4%
UTA 114, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.68,0.72,0	90.2%
UTA 99, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.91,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.69,0.74,0	90.0%