NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	6.9 [413]		MVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): +41.2%
Utah Jazz	124		Comeback	24.1 [111]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -6.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.29	0.13	0.01	13	94%	0.50	2	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.02	15	70%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	12	62%	0.09	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	47%	0.00	3	-0.06	10	80%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	0.00	13	64%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.07	0.03	12	69%	0.20	0	0.00	12	75%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	10	78%	0.19	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	12	64%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	48%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	13	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	23.4	15.7	33.0	1.8	29.3	132.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -20.9%

UTA +22.2%

UTA +30.0%

UTA +14.7%

UTA +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	15.6	15.3	118.6	126.5	106.0
season	14.4	15.3		113.5	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	14.5	14.3	15.0	13.9
UTA	15.0	16.8	12.9	18.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	44	46	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.13	10	-19	29	13.5	14.2	-0.67	17.7	13.8	3.95
Lou Amundson	13	12	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-14	19	14.6	13.8	0.84	18.7	15.2	3.45
Robin Lopez	50	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	13.4	14.4	-0.92	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Grant Hill	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	0	-9	13.7	13.9	-0.21	12.4	16.0	-3.61
Earl Clark	15	13	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	5	-19	15.0	13.7	1.32	13.2	16.0	-2.78
Jason Richardson	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-6	3	13.9	13.9	0.01	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Steve Nash	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-5	1	13.5	15.9	-2.42	15.7	15.4	0.35
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	1	-11	13.6	15.1	-1.59	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Goran Dragic	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	-2	-5	14.5	12.9	1.57	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Channing Frye	54	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	1	-11	14.6	13.0	1.59	15.5	15.8	-0.30

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	77	74	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-8	25	15.4	16.6	-1.24	13.9	14.0	-0.15
Wesley Matthews	46	45	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-8	25	16.3	15.1	1.16	14.7	13.2	1.58
Carlos Boozer	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-4	17	15.2	18.8	-3.69	13.9	13.7	0.16
Deron Williams	85	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-7	23	15.3	17.7	-2.36	13.6	15.6	-1.94
Paul Millsap	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	5	-1	15.9	15.2	0.73	14.2	13.4	0.72
Mehmet Okur	52	50	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	8	-7	16.1	15.1	1.01	13.5	14.3	-0.76
Ronnie Price	13	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	16	-23	17.7	15.3	2.36	15.6	13.6	1.94
Kyle Korver	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	12	-15	15.2	15.8	-0.60	14.1	13.8	0.21
Ronnie Brewer	44	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.10	-3	12	-15	15.5	15.8	-0.30	12.9	14.8	-1.89
CJ Miles	10	10	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	19	-29	16.5	15.5	0.95	14.6	13.8	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.67,0.75,0.95,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1	92.3%
ATL 115, OKC 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.47,0.54,0.78,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.0%
NYK 80, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.0%