NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	6.1 [571]		MVP	Brendan Haywood (WAS): +14.4%
Washington Wizards	78		Comeback	1.1 [557]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -17.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.04	0.03	10	74%	0.19	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mardy Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	13	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	17	31%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	8	82%	0.21	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	16	56%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	17	29%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	30.1	16.4	28.2	3.0	28.3	131.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +23.8%

LAC +11.2%

WAS -1.7%

LAC +19.0%

WAS -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.4	15.3	103.4	87.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.7		101.9	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	18.1	16.8	18.1	16.9
WAS	15.8	14.6	18.4	13.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	1	12	17.4	15.7	1.69	14.3	18.0	-3.62
Mardy Collins	19	20	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	3	8	17.8	16.7	1.17	17.0	15.0	2.08
Marcus Camby	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	16.8	17.4	-0.59	16.5	11.4	5.01
Craig Smith	34	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	7	0	17.1	16.8	0.22	15.6	15.4	0.22
Rasual Butler	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	5	4	16.8	17.3	-0.45	15.1	16.7	-1.54
Chris Kaman	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	8	-2	17.3	15.8	1.50	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Ricky Davis	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	3	8	16.3	17.8	-1.48	16.1	14.5	1.68
Baron Davis	70	69	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	11	-8	16.7	17.8	-1.17	15.0	17.0	-2.08
Steve Novak	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	14	-14	9.0	17.0	-8.01	0.0	15.4	-15.44
DeAndre Jordan	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	14	-14	8.0	17.0	-9.02	0.0	15.6	-15.61

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	37	36	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-17	20	13.4	16.9	-3.53	17.4	16.6	0.79
Mike Miller	61	61	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-17	20	14.5	17.4	-2.85	17.9	14.8	3.06
Nick Young	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-13	12	14.9	15.5	-0.62	20.0	16.6	3.38
Fabricio Oberto	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-9	4	17.4	15.1	2.29	16.0	17.1	-1.06
Earl Boykins	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-9	4	16.3	15.4	0.92	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Andray Blatche	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	17.6	14.8	2.85	16.2	17.1	-0.89
Brendan Haywood	73	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-9	4	14.8	18.3	-3.50	16.9	16.9	0.07
Caron Butler	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	15.5	14.9	0.62	16.6	20.0	-3.38
DeShawn Stevenson	23	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	2	-18	17.5	14.7	2.81	14.2	17.9	-3.66
Antawn Jamison	72	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	1	-16	15.1	16.8	-1.71	17.3	15.6	1.71
Randy Foye	50	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	-1	-12	17.0	13.5	3.52	16.7	17.2	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
NYK 111, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.05,0.09,0.07,0,0,0.02,0	93.4%
PHI 82, NJN 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.3%