NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	7.7 [263]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +28.6%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	2.7 [350]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -22.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29	0.16	0.12	-0.00	19	67%	0.31	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
Rudy Fernandez	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.14	0.01	8	73%	0.28	1	-0.04	10	100%	0.10
Andre Miller	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.02,0.22	0.01	0.22	0.01	6	61%	0.32	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	18	55%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	5	17%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.27,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.09	0.03	16	58%	0.18	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.05
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0.06,0,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	17	50%	0.10	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.04
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.08
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	18	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	32.0	17.4	34.2	3.3	40.0	153.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.9%

POR +45.8%

DET -24.7%

POR +15.7%

DET -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.3	111.5	106.9	106.0
season	16.7	16.8		108.8	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		109.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.5	15.7	18.6	16.1	16.2
DET	18.3	21.4	14.1	14.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	65	64	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-6	16	16.0	16.8	-0.79	17.5	15.3	2.19
Steve Blake	72	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-1	6	16.7	13.8	2.94	16.9	16.7	0.25
Martell Webster	87	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.2	0.0	16.23	16.9	0.0	16.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	5	-6	16.8	14.1	2.67	17.4	14.9	2.53
Jeff Ayres	28	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-8	20	16.5	16.1	0.35	18.0	16.3	1.71
Dante Cunningham	20	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	0	4	14.0	16.9	-2.90	16.0	17.2	-1.23
Juwan Howard	55	55	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	11	-18	16.4	16.0	0.41	16.1	18.2	-2.18
Rudy Fernandez	39	39	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	11	-18	15.4	16.9	-1.49	15.7	17.8	-2.14

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	30	31	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-7	10	16.5	17.1	-0.57	18.6	14.9	3.70
Jason Maxiell	31	31	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-3	2	15.3	17.8	-2.51	14.7	17.1	-2.36
Chucky Atkins	15	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	3	-10	13.7	17.5	-3.88	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Austin Daye	8	6	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	6	-16	23.0	16.3	6.75	12.5	16.5	-4.01
Rodney Stuckey	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.40	5	-9	14	16.8	17.0	-0.17	16.9	14.5	2.45
Jonas Jerebko	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	0	-4	16.5	17.4	-0.88	15.3	17.5	-2.21
Richard Hamilton	67	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-4	4	16.9	16.7	0.16	16.7	14.4	2.25
Tayshaun Prince	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-6	8	17.2	16.2	0.97	16.6	15.4	1.22
Charlie Villanueva	56	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.36	-5	1	-6	17.1	16.4	0.76	14.8	18.7	-3.84
Ben Wallace	57	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	17.7	15.3	2.35	17.1	14.5	2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, ORL 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0	89.3%
BKN 112, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.28,0.43,0.92,0	88.6%
SAC 92, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,0	88.5%