inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 100 Excitement6.8 [433] MVPShaquille O'Neal (CLE): +15.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 108 Comeback1.4 [1101] LVPHedo Turkoglu (TOR): -17.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Jack0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.040.01679%0.1100.002100%0.02
Andrea Bargnani0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.03-0.001558%0.141-0.03367%0.01
Marco Belinelli0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.070.030.03-0.021254%0.071-0.00250%-0.01
Antoine Wright0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00863%0.091-0.02333%-0.05
DeMar DeRozan0.060,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.020.031064%0.0600.002100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%-0.0400.0020%-0.05
Chris Bosh-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.10.03-0.120.001658%0.003-0.10475%-0.00
Jose Calderon-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.08-0.00929%-0.111-0.05367%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.08-0.00625%-0.093-0.0900%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.090.001070%0.202-0.04367%-0.00
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.050.003133%0.1500.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.060.011565%0.204-0.114100%0.02
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.050.00478%0.122-0.051100%0.01
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01657%0.0300.002100%0.01
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00744%0.0200.002100%0.01
Daniel Gibson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01470%0.052-0.05250%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.06-0.080.021856%0.063-0.101486%0.03
Jawad Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00542%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.633.215.828.22.534.3143.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +41.8%
CLE +15.7%
CLE +2.7%
TOR -12.4%
CLE +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCLENBATORCLENBA
this game15.614.915.3106.4113.7106.0
season15.016.1109.6109.5
opponent15.015.5103.3111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR17.015.115.514.715.6
CLE13.515.515.115.314.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic88-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-91012.415.9-3.5216.214.81.49
DeMar DeRozan5454-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-4016.514.42.0414.016.1-2.09
Jarrett Jack4544-0.17-0.330.17-0.02-5-3-215.815.40.3513.616.0-2.32
Andrea Bargnani7473-0.23-0.270.05-0.230-8816.113.82.2814.615.9-1.33
Hedo Turkoglu4749-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-4014.716.4-1.7015.414.31.17
Antoine Wright4746-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-2-416.414.71.7014.315.4-1.17
Amir Johnson2324-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-2-416.715.21.5115.414.70.71
Jose Calderon4951-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.25-3-5215.415.8-0.3516.013.62.32
Marco Belinelli4141-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.30-4-4014.516.5-2.0116.114.02.09
Chris Bosh8285-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.21-91-1015.118.7-3.5214.915.0-0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams76750.70-0.200.900.2017-92614.914.80.0515.217.1-1.89
LeBron James80800.64-0.140.790.2912-41614.517.1-2.5916.112.93.22
Anderson Varejao54530.56-0.060.620.2411-31415.114.60.4816.314.61.71
Anthony Parker53510.260.240.030.009-11014.215.7-1.5315.315.9-0.57
Delonte West52510.220.28-0.050.2017-615.314.40.8915.615.50.11
Shaquille O'Neal50500.210.29-0.070.36-513-1815.314.40.9613.717.7-4.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas24230.140.36-0.220.0244014.315.1-0.7918.614.63.93
JJ Hickson51510.130.37-0.240.1017-614.415.4-0.9815.216.0-0.79
Daniel Gibson010.010.49-0.470.0108-80.014.9-14.8816.015.60.41
Jawad Williams3535-0.390.89-1.28-0.10-1018-2816.314.02.2615.815.50.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 106, MIA 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.63,0.47,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,194.0%
CHA 92, MIA 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,193.4%
TOR 95, WAS 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.95,192.9%