NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	2.9 [1195]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +9.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	1.1 [1014]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): -11.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Bender	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	10	73%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	54%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	18	29%	-0.06	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	8	15%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	7	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.06	14	68%	0.12	2	-0.02	16	81%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	10	45%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	11	41%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.4	24.1	18.7	24.2	2.5	25.3	127.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +35.7%

OKC +1.7%

NYK -0.8%

OKC +12.5%

OKC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	OKC	NBA	NYK	OKC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.3	89.8	108.2	106.0
season	14.7	15.0		105.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	16.2	14.8	13.6	15.1
OKC	12.5	15.1	12.3	17.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-27	36	13.4	15.4	-2.06	16.2	13.9	2.35
Jordan Hill	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-22	26	13.6	15.6	-2.01	17.7	13.2	4.51
Nate Robinson	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-21	24	14.6	16.1	-1.53	14.7	13.6	1.11
Jonathan Bender	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-6	-6	15.8	14.6	1.18	14.5	14.1	0.38
Al Harrington	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.31	-18	0	-18	14.9	15.2	-0.25	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Danilo Gallinari	63	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-8	-2	15.2	14.9	0.29	15.6	12.2	3.41
Chris Duhon	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-2	-14	16.1	13.7	2.48	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Jared Jeffries	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-1	-16	15.7	14.2	1.53	14.0	14.7	-0.63
Wilson Chandler	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-7	-4	14.6	16.3	-1.70	13.8	15.8	-2.09
David Lee	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	4	-26	15.2	14.9	0.29	12.8	17.0	-4.18

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	69	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.37	29	-11	40	13.8	15.4	-1.60	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Jeff Green	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-2	22	13.5	15.7	-2.17	16.0	13.4	2.54
Russell Westbrook	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.18	20	-2	22	13.3	15.4	-2.17	15.4	14.8	0.56
Thabo Sefolosha	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	11	-4	14.1	14.5	-0.36	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Nenad Krstic	40	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	6	6	13.7	14.7	-1.03	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Nick Collison	46	48	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	3	12	13.8	14.7	-0.83	16.1	14.1	2.00
James Harden	56	56	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	16	-14	15.0	13.3	1.67	15.1	15.1	0.01
Eric Maynor	46	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	20	-22	15.4	13.3	2.17	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Serge Ibaka	47	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	22	-26	15.3	13.3	2.03	14.7	15.5	-0.85
Byron Mullens	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	18.0	13.8	4.23	12.1	15.5	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MEM 89, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
POR 116, PHX 129	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%