NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	116		Excitement	2.6 [1250]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (POR): +10.3%
Phoenix Suns	129		Comeback	1.2 [1114]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (POR): -9.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.07	16	74%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.08	21	64%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	87%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	53%	-0.02	6	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	2	25%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.05	15	56%	0.00	4	-0.08	2	100%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	10	80%	0.10	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	9	90%	0.09	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	15	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	15	65%	0.04	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Shirley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	16	47%	-0.02	1	-0.01	11	73%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	30.2	15.6	25.2	2.4	30.3	129.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.8%

PHX +9.6%

POR -3.6%

PHX +20.7%

PHX +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	12.7	15.5	110.5	120.6	104.0
season	15.8	13.5		101.2	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	14.9	16.3	10.7	14.5
PHX	12.8	12.8	11.8	13.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	40	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-13	13	12.1	16.0	-3.84	12.4	12.9	-0.44
Theo Ratliff	45	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-19	25	13.3	15.4	-2.09	14.3	11.4	2.81
Ha Seung-Jin	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	10.4	14.8	-4.47	10.4	12.8	-2.41
Richie Frahm	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-14	15	12.9	14.9	-2.06	12.5	12.7	-0.26
Viktor Khryapa	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-10	7	13.7	15.0	-1.28	12.2	13.0	-0.73
Nick Van Exel	16	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.12	-12	-1	-11	16.8	14.1	2.72	13.1	12.6	0.52
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	14.9	13.4	1.51	13.1	11.7	1.41
Sebastian Telfair	84	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-8	3	14.1	16.2	-2.17	12.2	14.6	-2.35
Joel Przybilla	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	3	-19	16.1	12.8	3.23	11.3	14.1	-2.75
Darius Miles	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	15.2	13.4	1.70	13.5	11.3	2.17
Damon Stoudamire	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	0	-13	15.7	11.6	4.10	12.6	12.8	-0.11

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	84	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.13	21	-8	29	12.5	13.4	-0.96	15.3	11.8	3.43
Amar'e Stoudemire	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-2	17	12.7	12.7	-0.05	15.5	13.1	2.43
Jim Jackson	92	89	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	2	9	12.5	13.5	-0.99	14.8	12.8	2.00
Steve Nash	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-1	15	12.7	12.7	-0.03	15.4	13.7	1.69
Shawn Marion	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	1	11	12.5	12.9	-0.33	15.9	12.5	3.41
Leandro Barbosa	60	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	8	-3	12.9	12.4	0.53	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Steven Hunter	35	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	11	-9	14.2	11.9	2.30	15.3	14.1	1.17
Walter McCarty	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	17	-21	12.8	12.6	0.15	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Bo Outlaw	18	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	15	-17	11.8	12.9	-1.02	8.6	15.6	-6.94
Jake Voskuhl	18	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	15	-17	11.8	12.9	-1.02	8.6	15.6	-6.94
Paul Shirley	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	12.6	12.7	-0.09	8.6	15.1	-6.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NOK 69, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
SAC 91, PHI 125	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%