inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 97 Excitement8.2 [192] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +25.4%
Denver Nuggets 99 Comeback3.9 [239] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -13.6%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Parker0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.02-0.003133%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00861%0.0600.002100%0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0.000,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01571%0.062-0.05450%-0.02
Jawad Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.002100%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Mo Williams-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.031150%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Daniel Gibson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Delonte West-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00550%0.042-0.1000%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.00633%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.08-0.00641%0.031-0.161050%-0.05
LeBron James-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.14,-0.03,-0.14-0.08-0.030.022851%0.078-0.211369%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.25,0.250.250.040.19-0.02957%0.2510.00367%-0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.20.200.090.10-0.01971%0.282-0.081080%0.06
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.090.090.010.06-0.022145%0.0900.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.060.060.050.030.021466%0.154-0.09771%-0.03
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00744%0.0100.00450%-0.04
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05-0.05-0.090.050.001046%0.115-0.164100%0.05
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.01525%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.13.431.620.529.43.448.0162.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.6%
DEN +14.2%
CLE -15.7%
DEN +32.0%
CLE -13.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDENNBACLEDENNBA
this game15.215.115.3100.0106.5106.0
season16.114.4109.5110.3
opponent15.515.0106.4103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.014.315.715.715.2
DEN15.717.015.013.015.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Delonte West5451-0.04-0.460.41-0.164-61014.416.2-1.7615.115.2-0.16
Anthony Parker6663-0.07-0.430.37-0.339-112014.716.3-1.5814.616.2-1.53
Daniel Gibson44-0.09-0.410.320.03-42-610.715.4-4.6316.715.11.69
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5756-0.13-0.370.23-0.4310-122214.416.2-1.8115.314.90.39
LeBron James8580-0.17-0.330.16-0.356-81414.817.9-3.1215.016.2-1.19
Shaquille O'Neal3130-0.25-0.25-0.010.07-119-2016.514.52.0016.214.61.58
Jawad Williams1718-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-53-815.915.00.8416.814.72.04
Anderson Varejao7169-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.414-61015.115.3-0.1715.613.91.69
JJ Hickson3127-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-119-2016.414.61.7714.615.3-0.70
Mo Williams6967-0.840.34-1.17-0.48-1210-2216.312.34.0314.416.9-2.44

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith54570.91-0.411.310.649-71614.416.1-1.6314.616.1-1.51
Nene60640.82-0.321.130.617-51214.416.4-1.9115.814.11.71
Arron Afflalo69740.56-0.060.620.5311015.414.31.0715.713.62.07
Kenyon Martin75800.170.33-0.150.26-35-814.816.7-1.9115.016.1-1.13
Anthony Carter36360.050.45-0.39-0.064-2616.114.51.5615.215.10.10
Chauncey Billups64670.010.49-0.480.31-1012-2214.915.6-0.6115.314.90.46
Chris Andersen51500.010.49-0.480.0102-216.513.52.9714.815.6-0.88
Joey Graham5657-0.030.53-0.56-0.0920215.115.2-0.1915.015.5-0.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.38,0.22,0.31,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, MIL 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.43,0.59,190.4%
SAS 77, DEN 800.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.76,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.54,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.42,190.4%
MIN 96, PHX 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.6,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.59,190.3%