NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	7.7 [261]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +53.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	12.1 [220]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -26.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.46	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.46	0.18	0.29	0.01	25	67%	0.49	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	16	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.27,-0.27	-0.05	-0.22	-0.01	11	42%	-0.12	2	-0.15	4	75%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.54	0.54	0.11	0.43	-0.00	8	74%	0.54	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49	0.49	0.30	0.21	0.02	23	77%	0.56	3	-0.07	16	87%	0.04
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	3	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.05
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	14	45%	-0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.6	31.3	14.8	28.5	0.2	35.8	140.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.0%

CLE +6.8%

CLE +10.5%

CLE +13.6%

ATL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.3	112.2	116.5	106.0
season	16.0	16.1		109.4	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.8		103.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	13.7	17.7	16.8	15.4
CLE	19.1	15.6	15.9	15.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	21	20	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.07	12	-17	29	14.1	15.8	-1.65	17.8	16.0	1.79
Joe Smith	13	14	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.03	5	-10	15	12.7	15.9	-3.18	17.1	16.3	0.87
Maurice Evans	13	15	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-5	5	12.8	15.9	-3.09	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Zaza Pachulia	20	19	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-3	1	17.2	14.9	2.36	18.0	16.0	2.01
Marvin Williams	59	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-3	1	14.9	16.5	-1.59	16.3	16.6	-0.34
Jamal Crawford	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-5	5	15.5	15.3	0.15	16.1	17.0	-0.82
Josh Smith	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	16.0	13.2	2.86	16.7	15.2	1.48
Mike Bibby	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.9	13.8	2.09	16.7	15.5	1.21
Joe Johnson	75	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	9	-23	15.7	14.2	1.45	16.1	17.9	-1.78
Al Horford	48	50	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.39	-15	10	-25	15.3	15.5	-0.26	15.5	17.5	-1.92

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	24	24	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-7	19	15.8	16.6	-0.84	18.5	14.3	4.16
LeBron James	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	16.4	16.8	-0.44	15.7	13.0	2.71
Anthony Parker	59	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-2	9	17.1	15.2	1.83	16.0	14.1	1.88
Mo Williams	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	16.5	16.1	0.34	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Anderson Varejao	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	4	-3	16.1	17.0	-0.82	15.5	15.3	0.15
JJ Hickson	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	16.3	16.5	-0.16	15.4	15.4	-0.07
Jamario Moon	30	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	6	-7	14.7	17.2	-2.55	12.6	16.7	-4.02
Shaquille O'Neal	39	39	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	3	-1	16.9	16.0	0.90	14.7	15.9	-1.22
Delonte West	33	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	7	-9	15.9	16.7	-0.78	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	24	23	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	18	-31	18.2	15.8	2.39	15.3	15.4	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.45,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.19,0.39,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	92.2%
LAC 102, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.83,1	91.2%
ATL 109, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,1	90.9%