NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	3.3 [1106]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +11.6%
Detroit Pistons	81		Comeback	1.5 [1020]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	9	76%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.00	-0.07	23	52%	0.13	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	5	20%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	9	15%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	78%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	11	32%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	-0.06	7	37%	-0.01	7	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.8	33.0	16.8	26.0	2.7	26.6	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.7%

LAL +2.3%

LAL +7.9%

LAL +14.1%

DET -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.3	97.9	85.3	106.0
season	15.7	16.8		107.9	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.6	13.5	17.0	17.0	14.7
DET	17.2	15.3	15.0	14.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	-7	26	14.0	17.4	-3.42	16.0	14.2	1.75
Pau Gasol	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.10	21	-9	30	14.6	14.8	-0.12	15.2	16.8	-1.63
Metta World Peace	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-2	16	14.6	14.8	-0.12	16.5	13.4	3.06
Derek Fisher	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	0	12	14.2	15.1	-0.84	17.6	13.8	3.80
Lamar Odom	47	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	2	8	14.7	14.6	0.06	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Andrew Bynum	53	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	16	-20	14.9	14.4	0.44	17.7	13.2	4.44
Jordan Farmar	37	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	14.7	14.7	0.00	13.3	17.2	-3.83
Sasha Vujacic	8	9	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	6	0	12.5	14.9	-2.37	11.6	16.1	-4.51
Adam Morrison	18	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	12	-12	16.4	14.3	2.12	13.2	16.2	-2.99
DJ Mbenga	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	13.7	14.7	-0.96	14.7	15.7	-0.93
Josh Powell	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	16.1	14.5	1.58	16.2	15.6	0.66
Shannon Brown	37	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.35	-13	25	-38	15.8	14.0	1.82	14.5	16.4	-1.86

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	52	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-22	32	16.4	14.7	1.73	15.8	13.2	2.66
Jason Maxiell	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-7	2	19.0	14.4	4.61	14.1	14.9	-0.75
Kwame Brown	43	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-16	20	14.9	16.3	-1.39	15.3	14.2	1.14
Chucky Atkins	40	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-5	-2	17.2	14.5	2.78	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Austin Daye	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-5	-2	13.7	17.3	-3.61	14.7	14.6	0.07
Will Bynum	51	50	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	14.5	17.0	-2.44	14.8	14.6	0.18
Jonas Jerebko	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	0	-12	16.1	14.7	1.41	14.7	14.6	0.09
Ben Wallace	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	4	-20	16.3	14.9	1.39	14.2	15.3	-1.14
Charlie Villanueva	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	14.4	17.7	-3.26	14.5	14.9	-0.44
DaJuan Summers	48	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-2	-8	15.5	15.7	-0.20	13.9	15.5	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DAL 95, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAS 86, MIA 70	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%