NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	8.9 [125]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +28.0%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	2.2 [242]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.16	0.01	13	74%	0.34	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	18	51%	0.14	3	-0.06	1	100%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	16	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	20	52%	0.18	3	-0.18	8	87%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.24	0.00	8	56%	0.30	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	15	66%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.09	0.03	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	31.2	16.5	22.3	2.4	38.6	2.4	22.4	160.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +12.0%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +18.1%

DAL -0.8%

HOU +15.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.8	15.3	112.6	103.8	106.0
season	15.0	15.2		106.0	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		104.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.5	13.8	14.6	20.5	14.9	15.9
DAL	16.5	15.6	16.0	11.7	13.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	75	76	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.16	23	-15	38	16.1	15.3	0.79	14.6	15.4	-0.81
David Andersen	51	48	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.17	21	-13	34	14.6	17.2	-2.55	15.7	14.1	1.54
Luis Scola	82	86	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	7	-6	16.6	13.0	3.63	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Aaron Brooks	75	75	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	13	-18	16.3	14.8	1.47	14.0	16.9	-2.86
Chase Budinger	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	-4	16	13.2	16.8	-3.62	15.8	14.5	1.27
Carl Landry	11	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	4	0	17.2	15.7	1.44	16.2	14.7	1.60
Shane Battier	63	65	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	11	-14	16.5	14.9	1.54	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Tracy McGrady	13	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	8	-8	14.0	16.2	-2.17	16.7	14.5	2.17
Charles Hayes	32	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.15	-5	13	-18	14.7	16.4	-1.66	16.3	14.3	2.01
Trevor Ariza	76	76	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.08	-16	24	-40	16.6	14.0	2.52	14.4	16.0	-1.64

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	70	68	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.18	13	-21	34	14.0	16.5	-2.43	16.4	14.8	1.61
Dirk Nowitzki	21	21	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-13	18	16.0	14.6	1.40	15.2	16.1	-0.82
Jason Kidd	85	84	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-14	20	14.1	18.0	-3.87	16.4	13.5	2.90
Kris Humphries	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	17.2	14.6	2.61	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Jose Juan Barea	69	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.4	13.8	1.61	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Tim Thomas	23	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	1	-10	16.0	14.5	1.49	13.6	16.7	-3.10
Erick Dampier	63	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-13	18	13.9	16.3	-2.40	16.5	15.0	1.51
Drew Gooden	39	38	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	7	-22	16.6	13.8	2.81	15.5	16.1	-0.58
Josh Howard	76	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.16	-17	9	-26	14.8	15.0	-0.27	16.5	14.2	2.33
Jason Terry	66	65	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.05	-24	16	-40	14.9	14.7	0.24	15.4	16.7	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.31,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.01,0	89.7%
MIA 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08,0	88.8%
CLE 95, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.14,0.17,0.54,0.45,0.1,0.31,0.27,0	88.8%