inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement7.7 [308] MVPRyan Anderson (NOH): +35.3%
New Orleans Hornets 97 Comeback2.2 [328] LVPGreivis Vasquez (NOH): -24.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.330.150.190.01785%0.3300.006100%0.04
DeMar DeRozan0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.2,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.080.10-0.010.012253%0.0800.001385%0.00
Amir Johnson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.05-0.02960%0.122-0.0420%-0.05
Alan Anderson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.011448%0.101-0.03580%-0.01
Mickael Pietrus0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00383%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Ed Davis0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.021252%0.041-0.031100%0.00
Aaron Gray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01356%0.031-0.03333%-0.03
Linas Kleiza-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00822%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Jose Calderon-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.01617%-0.081-0.0400%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.050.300.001557%0.391-0.0400%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.01945%0.0300.00475%-0.02
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.000100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Roger Mason Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Davis0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0-0.000.09-0.050.042058%0.042-0.043100%0.02
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01843%0.032-0.05560%-0.01
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.06-0.031242%0.033-0.1320%-0.02
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.05-0.170.021556%-0.086-0.166100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.82.634.814.826.42.038.21.614.3158.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +12.5%
TOR +1.3%
NOH -3.8%
TOR +29.9%
TOR +10.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNOHNBATORNOHNBA
this game16.715.815.4107.298.0104.1
season16.116.3104.4103.9
opponent15.615.3108.1105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR17.714.417.017.417.316.7
NOH14.415.518.114.718.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross43430.69-0.190.880.3412-51716.217.0-0.8016.215.40.80
Amir Johnson69710.67-0.170.840.1418-112916.018.4-2.4116.015.30.69
Alan Anderson68680.61-0.110.710.2014-72116.217.9-1.6915.616.2-0.65
Kyle Lowry49520.59-0.090.670.1515-82315.717.7-1.9516.415.11.32
DeMar DeRozan90920.480.020.450.3061516.913.73.2015.716.7-1.01
Linas Kleiza1090.100.40-0.31-0.0552313.817.0-3.2117.915.62.32
Ed Davis5355-0.050.55-0.600.04-310-1316.716.7-0.0415.915.60.34
Jose Calderon5758-0.140.64-0.780.09-815-2317.815.02.7714.817.1-2.29
Aaron Gray2828-0.170.67-0.840.15-1118-2918.416.02.4115.316.0-0.69
Mickael Pietrus1819-0.260.76-1.020.12-1320-3319.216.13.0515.615.8-0.25

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Thomas54520.12-0.620.730.18-2-5314.916.8-1.8316.417.0-0.60
Robin Lopez54520.04-0.540.59-0.105-121715.416.2-0.8116.616.8-0.18
Greivis Vasquez7976-0.01-0.490.48-0.258-152315.218.0-2.7817.115.21.84
Anthony Davis6464-0.08-0.420.34-0.256-131915.516.3-0.8317.215.71.54
Xavier Henry910-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-4116.615.70.8615.416.8-1.43
Al-Farouq Aminu86-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-4117.215.61.6017.216.60.52
Austin Rivers7575-0.13-0.370.24-0.5113-203315.915.50.3716.816.30.47
Brian Roberts2830-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-1-6516.615.41.2118.016.11.91
Ryan Anderson5857-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.19-92-1115.715.9-0.2116.317.2-0.88
Roger Mason Jr.2020-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.02-158-2318.015.22.7815.217.1-1.86
Dominic McGuire2422-0.46-0.04-0.420.07-1811-2915.615.8-0.2615.617.0-1.41
Jason Smith2221-0.510.01-0.53-0.04-169-2517.815.22.5616.316.8-0.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 102, CHA 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.09,0.02,090.5%
CLE 95, GSW 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.14,0.17,0.54,0.45,0.1,0.31,0.27,090.0%
MIA 93, SAC 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08,089.9%