inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 102 Excitement9.0 [111] MVPBoris Diaw (CHA): +15.2%
Charlotte Bobcats 96 Comeback1.6 [410] LVPGerald Henderson (CHA): -15.1%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.10.000.09-0.011644%0.1000.00250%-0.04
Willie Green0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.003100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00664%0.0700.002100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00769%0.102-0.06250%-0.01
Josh Smith0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.011859%0.133-0.09333%-0.05
Jeff Teague-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.05-0.011035%0.063-0.0800%0.00
Al Horford-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.040.01-0.05-0.011252%0.053-0.095100%0.03
Ivan Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05-0.060.020.001739%0.042-0.08250%-0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.150.15-0.040.17-0.021050%0.243-0.0900%0.00
Byron Mullens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.001363%0.192-0.101100%0.01
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.04-0.001073%0.162-0.11667%-0.07
Derrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.002100%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.010.01935%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
DJ White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.001547%0.012-0.0700%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07-0.070.08-0.140.001658%-0.031-0.04475%-0.02
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.030.00922%-0.092-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.20.826.315.523.42.636.00.813.7145.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +1.2%
ATL +11.1%
ATL +18.4%
ATL +12.1%
ATL +7.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHANBAATLCHANBA
this game17.816.115.6109.7101.1102.8
season15.716.3102.594.1
opponent15.015.9108.999.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL16.518.816.617.521.817.8
CHA18.616.415.415.313.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vladimir Radmanovic41410.52-0.020.550.1712-61816.818.5-1.7415.816.3-0.51
Al Horford75780.52-0.020.540.298-21017.419.3-1.8916.414.81.62
Joe Johnson75770.480.020.460.3060617.618.3-0.6516.215.40.80
Josh Smith69690.350.150.210.3024-217.917.20.6816.714.62.04
Jeff Teague70720.280.220.050.2806-617.518.5-1.0216.514.71.85
Jannero Pargo23230.180.32-0.150.0060618.517.51.0214.716.5-1.85
Ivan Johnson22230.130.37-0.240.0142217.917.70.1514.216.7-2.53
Zaza Pachulia18170.020.48-0.450.08-28-1019.317.41.8914.816.4-1.62
Willie Green18180.020.48-0.460.0206-618.317.60.6515.416.2-0.80
Marvin Williams5457-0.010.51-0.520.17-612-1818.217.11.1216.415.60.77

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Brown30290.04-0.540.57-0.084-101416.815.81.0819.117.21.91
D.J. Augustin7572-0.03-0.470.44-0.3210-162616.813.53.2917.817.70.05
DJ White5046-0.03-0.470.43-0.00-1-5417.614.43.1816.519.0-2.52
Matt Carroll99-0.09-0.410.31-0.00-3-3015.616.2-0.6021.417.44.09
Bismack Biyombo2526-0.23-0.270.04-0.06-60-614.416.7-2.2518.117.60.50
Gerald Henderson6158-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-104-1416.415.60.7416.519.9-3.37
Byron Mullens4343-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.383-91215.216.8-1.6219.016.72.32
Boris Diaw7271-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.21-82-1016.215.90.2417.718.0-0.26
Tyrus Thomas6160-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.21-82-1016.016.3-0.2617.318.6-1.32
Kemba Walker4951-0.680.18-0.85-0.35-115-1614.517.8-3.3618.317.01.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.09,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 102, TOR 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.03,0.01,091.9%
TOR 104, NOH 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.01,090.5%
MIA 93, SAC 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08,090.1%