NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	5.1 [793]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +10.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	1.0 [666]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -16.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	14	64%	0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	58%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	58%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Ime Udoka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.02	-0.06	7	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03
Tyreke Evans	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	12	38%	-0.06	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	14	65%	0.13	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	16	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	73%	0.14	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	3	67%	0.03	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	28.4	15.4	27.4	1.8	29.2	131.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.8%

MIN +7.7%

MIN +2.6%

MIN +3.2%

MIN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	13.0	15.3	89.7	104.7	106.0
season	15.2	14.7		103.7	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	13.9	15.7	12.9	13.9
MIN	13.5	11.9	12.0	14.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	21	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-19	22	13.9	13.9	-0.05	11.9	13.3	-1.40
Donte Greene	39	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-10	4	13.4	14.2	-0.81	13.0	13.0	0.05
Sergio Rodriguez	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-13	10	11.8	14.8	-2.97	14.6	12.4	2.29
Kenny Thomas	47	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-12	8	13.5	14.2	-0.77	12.7	13.3	-0.64
Andres Nocioni	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-11	6	14.2	13.7	0.53	12.2	13.5	-1.28
Spencer Hawes	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-10	4	14.0	13.9	0.10	12.9	13.1	-0.22
Omri Casspi	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-7	-2	13.6	14.6	-0.99	12.9	13.4	-0.56
Beno Udrih	73	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-4	-8	14.2	13.4	0.80	13.2	12.8	0.40
Tyreke Evans	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-1	-14	14.7	11.8	2.94	13.2	12.5	0.67
Jason Thompson	88	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.11	-23	7	-30	14.2	12.3	1.92	13.2	12.4	0.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	74	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.09	25	-9	34	12.6	13.8	-1.20	14.6	12.2	2.39
Damien Wilkins	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	0	16	13.1	12.9	0.16	14.0	13.6	0.35
Corey Brewer	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	0	16	13.0	13.1	-0.18	15.0	11.7	3.33
Al Jefferson	73	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	10	-4	12.9	13.3	-0.40	14.3	13.1	1.23
Jonny Flynn	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	15	-14	12.2	14.0	-1.82	14.1	13.6	0.49
Nathan Jawai	33	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	6	4	14.5	12.4	2.12	13.7	14.0	-0.36
Ramon Sessions	53	54	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	5	6	13.6	12.4	1.16	13.5	14.3	-0.88
Wayne Ellington	19	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	10	-4	12.9	13.0	-0.09	12.2	14.3	-2.05
Ryan Hollins	24	22	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	17	-18	13.2	13.0	0.24	11.5	14.5	-3.02
Sasha Pavlovic	44	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	21	-26	13.0	13.0	-0.07	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Oleksiy Pecherov	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	21	-26	13.6	13.0	0.66	11.5	14.1	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIA 83, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.95,1	95.4%
NOH 95, MIL 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%