inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 97 Excitement4.2 [966] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +15.7%
Atlanta Hawks 110 Comeback1.4 [1141] LVPSam Young (MEM): -11.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01875%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Marc Gasol0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.02778%0.082-0.03450%-0.03
Hasheem Thabeet0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcus Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04150%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
Steven Hunter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.09719%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.020.001450%0.032-0.06250%-0.01
Rudy Gay-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.02-0.011146%0.043-0.062100%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01450%-0.023-0.0300%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00950%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Sam Young-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.120.02-0.020.121362%-0.064-0.056100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.040.021672%0.202-0.044100%0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.03-0.021548%0.081-0.021100%0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.03881%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.041243%0.0400.00450%-0.01
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.011350%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
Othello Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01460%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.02647%-0.0000.00333%-0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05633%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01540%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.00642%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.83.430.315.026.12.532.4137.4
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +17.6%
ATL +10.0%
ATL +8.1%
ATL +6.5%
ATL +7.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMATLNBAMEMATLNBA
this game15.015.615.3102.1118.3106.0
season15.416.0106.8109.4
opponent15.815.0106.0108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.617.816.412.815.0
ATL15.214.118.814.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Williams1615-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-202713.215.4-2.1915.515.7-0.20
Steven Hunter2221-0.00-0.500.49-0.248-212912.315.8-3.5014.615.9-1.31
Zach Randolph5858-0.18-0.320.13-0.13-2-11915.414.31.1216.314.51.84
DeMarre Carroll3028-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-5-8312.616.1-3.5215.015.9-0.91
Rudy Gay5655-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-8316.412.93.5015.915.20.72
Jamaal Tinsley4039-0.23-0.270.04-0.06-6-7113.216.3-3.1315.016.1-1.14
O.J. Mayo6161-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-1-1115.614.01.6216.713.72.97
Mike Conley6160-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-7115.713.81.9415.715.40.33
Hasheem Thabeet1816-0.30-0.20-0.110.20-174-2116.814.62.1814.215.9-1.75
Marc Gasol6464-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-152-1716.312.43.9415.915.10.77
Sam Young4948-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.08-12-1-1113.716.4-2.7214.616.8-2.17

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Evans49520.51-0.010.51-0.0218-52315.116.2-1.0414.216.0-1.77
Zaza Pachulia33340.490.010.49-0.0318-52314.616.2-1.6415.414.80.67
Jamal Crawford68680.440.060.380.091211115.216.7-1.4814.715.9-1.18
Al Horford60610.380.120.27-0.1217-42115.515.8-0.2816.811.85.01
Jeff Teague35390.270.230.030.0676114.516.3-1.8013.116.3-3.24
Joe Johnson54530.170.33-0.160.14112-1116.514.51.9815.514.31.21
Josh Smith57580.140.36-0.23-0.1394516.414.42.0315.614.11.43
Mike Bibby43410.090.41-0.320.06112-1115.915.40.4216.413.92.51
Marvin Williams30330.050.45-0.400.05013-1316.815.11.7716.314.31.98
Othello Hunter17180.000.50-0.500.24-821-2915.315.7-0.4211.215.9-4.74
Randolph Morris1918-0.040.54-0.580.26-1023-3315.715.60.1310.716.0-5.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 97, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
CHI 91, DET 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
MIL 90, NJN 1100.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%