NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	4.2 [960]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +5.9%
Chicago Bulls	80		Comeback	1.5 [1160]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -17.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	15	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.07	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	9	48%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	61%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	19	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	5	20%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	16	39%	-0.12	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	33.0	15.8	28.0	1.8	29.2	136.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.6%

BOS +7.4%

CHI -1.9%

BOS +1.5%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.3	108.2	81.6	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		105.7	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	13.3	15.3	16.4	14.7
CHI	14.6	15.0	13.5	15.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	7	12	14.0	15.9	-1.81	14.6	14.8	-0.25
Rajon Rondo	79	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	6	14	14.5	15.5	-1.01	14.8	14.1	0.69
Kevin Garnett	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	13	0	14.5	15.0	-0.52	15.3	13.9	1.41
Paul Pierce	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	16	-6	13.9	15.6	-1.65	15.3	14.0	1.31
Kendrick Perkins	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	18	-10	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.5	14.0	1.52
Rasheed Wallace	45	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	13	0	15.6	13.9	1.68	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Eddie House	42	40	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.25	14	12	2	16.3	13.6	2.71	13.8	15.3	-1.43
Shelden Williams	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	15	-4	15.3	14.3	1.01	14.2	15.0	-0.80
Brian Scalabrine	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.25	11	15	-4	16.1	14.0	2.05	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Tony Allen	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	22	-18	14.7	14.7	0.05	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Lester Hudson	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	9.8	15.0	-5.18	15.0	14.7	0.35
J.R. Giddens	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	21	-16	13.0	14.9	-1.87	13.9	14.8	-0.86

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	15.0	14.7	0.35	9.8	15.0	-5.18
Jannero Pargo	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	17.1	14.2	2.86	16.1	14.5	1.60
Aaron Gray	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.11	-5	-21	16	14.8	14.7	0.11	11.8	15.2	-3.40
James Johnson	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-15	4	15.2	14.4	0.81	15.0	14.6	0.36
John Salmons	62	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-13	0	13.6	16.5	-2.93	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Brad Miller	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-19	12	15.6	13.8	1.76	15.8	13.7	2.14
Taj Gibson	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.26	-19	-7	-12	14.7	14.6	0.04	14.3	15.7	-1.45
Luol Deng	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-11	-4	14.4	15.2	-0.81	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Derrick Rose	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-14	2	15.7	12.4	3.28	15.5	12.8	2.78
Joakim Noah	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	-5	-16	14.0	16.1	-2.13	14.9	14.2	0.71
Kirk Hinrich	44	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	-4	-18	13.7	15.4	-1.72	13.9	15.4	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIL 119, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
POR 96, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0	95.5%