NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	9.6 [73]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +118.3%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	33.7 [23]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -39.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	1.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,1.18	0.20	0.99	0.00	7	100%	1.23	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.29
Troy Murphy	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.07	-0.02	18	67%	0.25	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Tyler Hansbrough	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	14	56%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Earl Watson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	9	56%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	9	20%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.39	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.17,-0.39	-0.08	-0.32	-0.00	16	37%	-0.29	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.10	-0.00	18	76%	0.40	4	-0.13	5	20%	-0.09
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.11	0.00	3	125%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.02	15	66%	0.21	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	20	47%	0.04	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	31.1	15.7	26.2	2.3	40.0	142.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -97.7%

IND +122.0%

IND +6.2%

IND +12.5%

IND +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.3	118.8	115.3	106.0
season	14.2	15.7		102.2	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	13.0	16.2	17.9	15.4
WAS	14.1	14.6	12.6	16.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	52	56	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.42	18	-17	35	14.1	16.8	-2.70	15.4	12.9	2.52
Mike Dunleavy	59	61	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-11	23	13.5	18.2	-4.70	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Troy Murphy	74	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-3	7	15.8	13.9	1.87	14.9	12.2	2.68
Tyler Hansbrough	50	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-2	5	15.7	15.0	0.76	15.2	13.5	1.65
T.J. Ford	56	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.47	-13	14	-27	16.6	13.6	2.96	14.6	14.1	0.52
Jeff Foster	17	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	4	-7	14.4	15.6	-1.15	13.1	14.7	-1.50
Brandon Rush	58	61	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	2	-3	16.6	13.4	3.24	14.8	13.7	1.08
Roy Hibbert	49	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	8	-15	14.9	15.9	-1.02	12.5	16.2	-3.69
Dahntay Jones	65	65	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	9	-17	15.6	14.8	0.86	13.3	16.4	-3.04

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	92	90	0.56	-1.06	1.62	0.42	5	-6	11	14.3	14.8	-0.52	15.4	15.0	0.38
Nick Young	29	29	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.02	14	-15	29	12.4	15.2	-2.75	16.7	14.8	1.86
Brendan Haywood	70	69	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.38	-2	1	-3	15.0	12.6	2.39	15.6	14.7	0.90
Dominic McGuire	13	15	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.10	5	-6	11	12.2	14.7	-2.44	17.1	15.0	2.03
Earl Boykins	39	38	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.28	-7	6	-13	16.0	13.3	2.70	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Randy Foye	15	15	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	11	-23	15.9	14.1	1.87	12.1	16.0	-3.90
Gilbert Arenas	71	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.60	4	-5	9	14.3	14.5	-0.24	15.6	14.6	1.01
Caron Butler	79	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.63	2	-3	5	14.4	14.1	0.37	15.3	15.4	-0.06
DeShawn Stevenson	42	41	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.71	-1	0	-1	13.7	14.8	-1.11	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Andray Blatche	39	38	-1.10	0.60	-1.70	-0.78	-11	10	-21	14.1	14.5	-0.36	14.2	16.1	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.96,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, NYK 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.67,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.73,0	91.4%
MIL 88, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.83,0	90.7%
CLE 88, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.85,0	89.7%