NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	8.4 [212]		MVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): +26.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	42.5 [19]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -34.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.27	-0.00	0.28	0.01	3	86%	0.34	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	21	50%	0.13	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.06
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	16	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.06
Bobby Simmons	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	10	36%	-0.05	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	6	-0.24	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.26	-0.07	-0.19	-0.01	14	43%	-0.19	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0	0.00	0.08	-0.08	0.00	7	76%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.21
Lee Nailon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.06	-0.03	15	33%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.34	-0.34	-0.08	-0.22	0.03	22	44%	-0.22	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	27.2	16.3	26.5	2.4	40.0	137.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +5.8%

MIL +19.9%

MIL +39.1%

PHI -11.5%

PHI -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.6	89.8	86.7	104.4
season	15.5	15.2		104.6	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.7	13.5	15.4	16.8	14.6
PHI	15.6	15.9	12.9	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	78	77	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.57	7	-4	11	13.6	18.2	-4.65	14.2	17.2	-3.00
Michael Redd	89	88	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.43	10	-7	17	14.6	14.2	0.36	14.7	16.1	-1.41
Mo Williams	63	62	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.34	13	-10	23	14.1	15.4	-1.28	15.6	13.5	2.16
T.J. Ford	50	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.64	-4	7	-11	15.3	13.7	1.57	13.8	16.0	-2.27
Bobby Simmons	65	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.59	-9	12	-21	15.2	13.2	1.97	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Dan Gadzuric	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.19	9	-6	15	13.8	15.1	-1.30	15.8	14.1	1.66
Charlie Bell	40	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.25	7	-4	11	13.6	15.2	-1.56	16.4	13.8	2.53
Jamaal Magloire	63	64	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.07	-18	21	-39	15.9	12.1	3.83	14.9	14.7	0.16

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shavlik Randolph	28	28	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.11	6	-9	15	15.9	14.4	1.43	16.1	13.9	2.13
Lee Nailon	3	2	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-5	7	8.7	15.0	-6.36	12.0	14.6	-2.60
Steven Hunter	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-1	-1	17.8	14.5	3.30	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Michael Bradley	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.06	1	-4	5	12.9	15.1	-2.16	15.0	14.5	0.50
Andre Iguodala	82	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.60	14	-17	31	14.0	19.2	-5.20	14.9	12.4	2.56
Samuel Dalembert	68	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-5	7	14.3	16.1	-1.77	14.3	15.2	-0.94
Allen Iverson	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.58	9	-12	21	14.4	16.6	-2.16	14.8	13.4	1.40
Chris Webber	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	4	-11	15.4	13.8	1.58	14.1	15.4	-1.27
Kyle Korver	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	3	-9	14.5	15.7	-1.20	14.5	14.7	-0.26
Kevin Ollie	24	22	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	12	-27	16.6	14.3	2.31	14.1	14.7	-0.59
John Salmons	50	51	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.16	-19	16	-35	16.2	13.5	2.70	14.2	14.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.83,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.96,0	90.7%
NOH 84, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.59,0	89.2%
NYK 105, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.59,0	88.5%