NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	9.1 [107]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +87.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	4.8 [402]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -45.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.40	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.4	0.05	0.33	-0.01	17	55%	0.42	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.1,0.3	0.08	0.20	-0.01	13	62%	0.45	2	-0.15	11	82%	0.19
Chase Budinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.06
Trevor Ariza	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	12	27%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.46	-0.10	-0.36	0.00	9	33%	-0.31	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.88	0.88	0.12	0.76	0.01	15	72%	1.04	4	-0.16	9	100%	0.08
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	14	69%	0.22	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	72%	0.18	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.10	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	14	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	33.2	15.4	27.2	2.5	39.5	144.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +111.1%

HOU -21.8%

HOU -45.9%

POR +0.6%

POR +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	16.7	17.0	15.3	104.7	104.7	106.0
season	15.0	16.7		106.0	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	15.6	17.3	17.1	16.7
POR	19.0	15.0	17.0	17.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	36	37	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-7	13	15.9	17.3	-1.41	17.1	16.8	0.32
Carl Landry	52	53	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.17	10	-11	21	16.5	17.1	-0.59	17.4	16.3	1.06
David Andersen	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-1	1	17.0	16.7	0.32	16.7	17.0	-0.33
Luis Scola	65	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	6	-13	17.2	15.2	2.00	17.2	16.1	1.09
Charles Hayes	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	0	-1	16.7	16.8	-0.13	16.5	17.3	-0.81
Shane Battier	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.45	3	-4	7	17.6	14.6	3.07	17.4	15.8	1.64
Aaron Brooks	56	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	4	-9	17.2	15.9	1.32	16.5	17.7	-1.23
Trevor Ariza	64	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.49	-4	3	-7	16.4	17.7	-1.24	16.7	17.7	-0.97
Kyle Lowry	42	41	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.56	-7	6	-13	15.5	17.9	-2.34	16.6	17.3	-0.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	38	39	1.05	-0.55	1.59	0.69	12	-11	23	17.4	16.6	0.84	15.7	17.6	-1.96
Andre Miller	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	0	1	16.8	17.5	-0.67	16.7	16.7	0.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	1	-1	16.8	17.7	-0.86	17.2	14.6	2.59
Brandon Roy	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	2	-3	17.0	16.8	0.14	16.9	15.9	0.95
Steve Blake	51	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	3	-5	16.5	17.6	-1.09	17.0	16.3	0.77
Greg Oden	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	0	1	15.4	17.1	-1.74	21.0	16.3	4.65
Dante Cunningham	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	0	1	18.1	16.8	1.29	17.2	16.7	0.55
Juwan Howard	20	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	6	-11	20.2	16.0	4.23	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Joel Przybilla	65	63	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.12	1	0	1	16.2	19.4	-3.21	16.2	18.2	-1.96
Martell Webster	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	4	-7	17.4	16.7	0.73	16.9	16.6	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.76,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.76,0.59,1	92.0%
ATL 91, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.74,1	91.2%
MEM 92, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.34,0.27,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.28,1	90.7%