NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	10.6 [53]		MVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): +45.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	93		Comeback	8.3 [117]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -25.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.37,0.37	0.11	0.27	0.01	14	63%	0.39	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	35%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	40%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.05	-0.10	0.04	-0.00	8	35%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	9	52%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	10	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16	0.01	-0.16	0.01	11	55%	-0.07	3	-0.09	11	91%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,0.46	0.46	-0.06	0.53	0.01	11	58%	0.63	6	-0.18	2	50%	0.07
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.10	0.23	0.00	11	62%	0.33	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.02
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	5	30%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	11	41%	-0.04	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	7	29%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.26	-0.26	-0.01	-0.24	0.00	4	50%	-0.10	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	29.8	15.5	29.4	2.3	35.4	140.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +76.2%

MEM -10.5%

MEM -18.1%

MEM -23.5%

MIL +25.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIL	NBA	MEM	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	15.1	98.9	103.3	104.2
season	15.9	14.5		103.8	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	15.0	15.1	20.6	16.4
MIL	13.9	16.3	16.2	13.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	68	67	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.15	2	-3	5	17.4	13.6	3.76	14.6	16.6	-2.01
Jon Leuer	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	1	-3	16.6	16.3	0.34	15.3	14.9	0.41
Beno Udrih	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	18.6	15.1	3.47	15.6	14.8	0.80
Quincy Pondexter	21	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	6	-13	15.2	16.7	-1.48	18.3	14.1	4.16
Marc Gasol	66	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-9	17	15.6	18.4	-2.85	15.2	14.7	0.53
Kosta Koufos	20	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	6	-13	16.1	16.5	-0.37	16.4	14.7	1.65
Courtney Lee	67	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.57	10	-11	21	16.4	16.2	0.22	14.2	17.4	-3.29
Mike Conley	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-6	11	15.4	18.1	-2.68	14.6	15.9	-1.36
Tayshaun Prince	49	49	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.53	-4	3	-7	17.5	15.1	2.37	15.5	14.5	1.02
Tony Allen	51	48	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.51	-6	5	-11	15.1	18.0	-2.90	14.6	15.6	-1.08

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	40	43	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.63	6	-5	11	14.7	15.4	-0.66	16.4	16.4	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	31	29	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.77	-2	3	-5	15.4	14.9	0.44	13.8	17.6	-3.77
Khris Middleton	25	25	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-3	7	13.2	15.8	-2.53	15.7	16.6	-0.91
O.J. Mayo	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	2	-3	16.0	13.9	2.09	17.6	15.0	2.62
Brandon Knight	49	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.44	-5	6	-11	14.0	16.3	-2.34	14.5	18.6	-4.04
John Henson	27	28	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	-6	13	15.1	15.0	0.12	18.5	15.5	2.97
Jerryd Bayless	41	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-5	11	16.3	14.0	2.34	18.6	14.5	4.04
Jabari Parker	53	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	1	-1	15.2	14.8	0.43	15.7	17.4	-1.70
Ersan Ilyasova	50	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	3	-5	14.9	15.2	-0.28	15.2	17.9	-2.72
Giannis Antetokounmpo	53	55	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	6	-11	15.3	14.8	0.48	17.4	14.9	2.52
Larry Sanders	32	36	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	4	-7	14.7	15.3	-0.54	16.9	16.1	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.34,0.27,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.42,1	92.0%
DAL 112, NOP 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.31,1	91.3%
HOU 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.76,0.42,1	90.7%